Ellis Starr

Equibase Analysis: Who’s The ‘Prime Attraction’ In Charles Whittingham Stakes?

The Grade 2, $200,000 Charles Whittingham Stakes brings together a field of seven including the 2017 winner of this race, Ashleyluvssugar, who has not won in 11 races since his victory two years ago. Also winless in quite some time is Prime Attraction, whose last victory came in the Grade 3 Native Diver Stakes on […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who’s Most Likely To Win The Kentucky Derby?

The 145th running of the Grade 1, $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve is one of the more wide open editions of the race in recent memory. Only one horse, Tacitus, has won two “Road to the Derby” races in succession and many of the favorites in prep races for the Derby have […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Looks Best In Charles Town Classic?

This year’s edition of the Grade 1, $1 million Charles Town Classic brings together a field of 10 plus one also-eligible and includes last year’s winner Something Awesome as well as Imperative, who won the race in 2014 and again in 2017. However, both previous winners enter this year’s race off two or more very […]

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Equibase Analysis: Assessing The Arkansas Derby’s Top Contenders

On the Road to the Kentucky Derby, we are down to two prep races – this Grade 1 Arkansas Derby and the Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes at Keeneland. Many more points are on the line in this race, with the winner earning 100 and therefore assured a starting spot in Louisville in three weeks. […]

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Equibase Analysis: Several Contenders Could Show Vast Improvement In Fountain Of Youth

The 73rd running of the Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes appears to be a bellwether race on the “Road to the Kentucky Derby,” with 11 horses lined up and a few appearing poised for “breakout” efforts. Those proven in top company already include Grade 3 Nashua Stakes winner Vekoma, a talented colt but one […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Looks A Threat In The Buena Vista Stakes?

The Grade 2, $200,000 Buena Vista Stakes drew a field of 10 female turf milers but the race goes through Vasilika, one of the biggest success stories of 2018. Claimed for $40,000 in February, Vasilika earned $623,328 in winning nine of 11 races including eight in a row, three which were graded stakes. Her streak […]

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Equibase Analysis: Contention May Go Deep In Risen Star Stakes

The Grade 2, $400,000 Risen Star Stakes will likely see a big field of 14 break from the gate, with 14 entered plus one also-eligible. Many eyes will be on Grade 3 LeComte Stakes winner War of Will, who breaks from the extreme outside. Although he romped by four lengths in a field of 12 […]

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Equibase Analysis: Best Shot To Upset Knicks Go In Sam F. Davis Stakes?

The Grade 3, $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes is the stepping stone to the Tampa Bay Derby next month and for some, on to the Kentucky Derby by virtue of offering “Road to the Derby” points to the top four finishers. Knicks Go leads the field in terms of accomplishments, having won the Grade 1 […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Might Rise To Top In Lecomte?

The 75th running of the Grade 3, $200,000 Lecomte Stakes is the first of two prep races at Fair Grounds in New Orleans prior to the $1 million Louisiana Derby on March 23. The outcome of the LeComte is likely to have an effect on who stays on the path to the Louisiana Derby by […]

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