Ellis Starr

Equibase Analysis: Who Looks Best In Charles Town Classic?

This year’s edition of the Grade 1, $1 million Charles Town Classic brings together a field of 10 plus one also-eligible and includes last year’s winner Something Awesome as well as Imperative, who won the race in 2014 and again in 2017. However, both previous winners enter this year’s race off two or more very […]

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Equibase Analysis: Assessing The Arkansas Derby’s Top Contenders

On the Road to the Kentucky Derby, we are down to two prep races – this Grade 1 Arkansas Derby and the Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes at Keeneland. Many more points are on the line in this race, with the winner earning 100 and therefore assured a starting spot in Louisville in three weeks. […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Might Upset War Of Will In Louisiana Derby?

Since breaking his maiden in his fifth career start (first on dirt) last fall, War of Will has won two stakes races in a row – the Grade 3 LeComte Stakes and the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes, both at Fair Grounds, and will  be attempting to win the Grade 2, $1 million Louisiana Derby […]

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Equibase Analysis: Several Contenders Could Show Vast Improvement In Fountain Of Youth

The 73rd running of the Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes appears to be a bellwether race on the “Road to the Kentucky Derby,” with 11 horses lined up and a few appearing poised for “breakout” efforts. Those proven in top company already include Grade 3 Nashua Stakes winner Vekoma, a talented colt but one […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Looks A Threat In The Buena Vista Stakes?

The Grade 2, $200,000 Buena Vista Stakes drew a field of 10 female turf milers but the race goes through Vasilika, one of the biggest success stories of 2018. Claimed for $40,000 in February, Vasilika earned $623,328 in winning nine of 11 races including eight in a row, three which were graded stakes. Her streak […]

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Equibase Analysis: Contention May Go Deep In Risen Star Stakes

The Grade 2, $400,000 Risen Star Stakes will likely see a big field of 14 break from the gate, with 14 entered plus one also-eligible. Many eyes will be on Grade 3 LeComte Stakes winner War of Will, who breaks from the extreme outside. Although he romped by four lengths in a field of 12 […]

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Equibase Analysis: Best Shot To Upset Knicks Go In Sam F. Davis Stakes?

The Grade 3, $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes is the stepping stone to the Tampa Bay Derby next month and for some, on to the Kentucky Derby by virtue of offering “Road to the Derby” points to the top four finishers. Knicks Go leads the field in terms of accomplishments, having won the Grade 1 […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Might Rise To Top In Lecomte?

The 75th running of the Grade 3, $200,000 Lecomte Stakes is the first of two prep races at Fair Grounds in New Orleans prior to the $1 million Louisiana Derby on March 23. The outcome of the LeComte is likely to have an effect on who stays on the path to the Louisiana Derby by […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Will Jump Up In La Canada Stakes?

The Grade 3, $100,000 La Canada Stakes at Santa Anita Saturday drew a field of seven with only one of the group having won a graded stakes previously, that being True Royalty, who was victorious in the Grade 3 Torrey Pines Stakes last summer. Two mares, however, have proven very competitive in the past two […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Will Pick Up Derby Points In The Sham?

The 19th running of the Grade 3, $100,000 Sham Stakes starts the 2019 California Road to the Kentucky Derby off with a chance for some newly turned 3-year-olds to earn points which, come this spring, help determine who can enter the starting gate on the first Saturday in May. Seven hopefuls line up, with two […]

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