Who’s In, Who’s Out? Several Prominent Derby Contenders On The Bubble

by | 04.08.2019 | 6:57pm
Bourbon War works on March 22

This year represents the highest point total ever required to make the Kentucky Derby field, with the cutoff currently hovering at 37.5 points. The previous standard was set in 2016 at 32 points, accrued by eighth-place finisher Mo Tom.

Last week it was announced that Japan-based Master Fencer's connections will accept the invitation to the Kentucky Derby, leaving 19 available spots in the Run for the Roses.

The current top 19 points holders are, in order: Tacitus (150), Vekoma (110), Plus Que Parfait (104), Roadster (100), By My Standards (100), Maximum Security (100), Game Winner (85), Code of Honor (74), Haikal (70), War of Will (60), Long Range Toddy (53.5), Tax (52), Cutting Humor (50), Win Win Win (50), Gray Magician (41), Spinoff (40), Bodexpress (40), Signalman (38), and Omaha Beach (37.5).

**italicized names indicate horses planning another start before the Derby.

Two prep races still remain, scheduled to be run on April 13. The G3 Lexington at Keeneland offers points on a 20-8-4-2 basis, and the G1 Arkansas Derby will reward the top four finishers with 100-40-20-10 points, respectively.

Several prospective starters in the Arkansas Derby are outside the top 19 point-earners and need either a win or second-place finish to make the field: Country House (30), Improbable (25), Gray Attempt (10), and Galilean (7). Conversely, Omaha Beach will need to finish in the top four to stay in the field, while Long Range Toddy is mostly likely safe no matter how he runs in the Arkansas Derby.

Horses seeking additional points and under consideration for the Lexington include: Anothertwistafate (30), Sueno (28), Mucho Gusto (24). Each of those three will likely need to win the race (earning 20 points) to join the top 19.

The current “bubble horses,” requiring a scratch to make the field, are listed here in order:

21. Bourbon War (31)

22. Somelikeithotbrown (30)

23. Instagrand (30)

24. Anothertwistafate (30)

25. Country House (30)

26. Sueno (28)

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