The last slow weekend before Derby was reflected by a basic stagnation of the Paulick Derby Index by AmWest Entertainment. The only race of note this weekend, the Lane's End Stakes, did not really produce any headlines.The winner Hold Me Back did not crack even one of our Top Ten lists this week and none of the other horses in that field are anywhere to be found in this week's PDI. Perhaps most notable was that the only Derby winner to come out of the Lane's End (Jim Beam Stakes at that time) passed away yesterday. Lil E. Tee left a legacy that does not look to be repeated any time soon, at least not this year. Of course, Hard Spun was the closest since as runner up in the Derby in 2007.
The only major addition to the field was the Kempton winner Mafaaz who despite only being voted on by three of our voters, actually picked up a first place vote. It should be interesting to see how this international experiment will affect this year's race.
Next week and beyond, we look forward to the top prep races including the Santa Anita Derby, Florida Derby and Wood Memorial. Look for a much more significant shakeup in the weeks to come.
Ray Paulick's Analysis
2- The Pamplemousse. I can see this horse beating Pioneerof the Nile in the Santa Anita Derby if there's not much pace to go with him. Kentucky will be a different story with lots of speed, and I'm not sure a son of Kafwain really wants a mile and a quarter.
3- Friesan Fire. Impressive Louisiana Derby winner will have a long rest between starts if Larry Jones trains him up to the Kentucky Derby as he's recently indicated. The successful road to the roses hasn't traveled through New Orleans that often, however.
4-I Want Revenge. How much is a half interest in the Stephen Got Even colt worth to IEAH stables, which has been attempting to buy him in hopes of catching lightning in a bottle two years in a row following Big Brown's success in 2008. Sources say the price is about $5 million.
5-Quality Road. Here comes the test for the son of Elusive Quality in this weekend's Florida Derby. First time around two turns will tell us a lot about whether or not he is truly Derby material.
6-Old Fashioned. With an additional week's time to reflect, I'm beginning to wonder if maybe Old Fashioned was just a very precocious 2-year-old whose classmates are now catching up to him. He'll need to rebound big time in the Arkansas Derby.
7-Desert Party. Son of Street Cry needs to do win big in this weekend's UAE Derby in Dubai. Anything short of that means Sheikh Mohammed's quest for the Kentucky Derby will have to wait another year.
8-Imperial Council. Might not win the Kentucky Derby, but something tells me the Empire Maker colt will be an important horse before the year is over.
9-Theregoesjojo. He's my upset special in the Florida Derby, and son of Brahms will be a price to boot.
10-Mafaaz. Sorry, Dunkirk, but the John Gosden-trained winner of the Kentucky Derby Challenge Stakes in England just bounced you off my top 10. Sure, the son of the Machiavellian stallion Medicean is bred for turf and he's lightly raced. But I give a great deal of respect to Gosden, who is no stranger to racing on dirt in the U.S., having stabled in California for a number of years. Besides, Dunkirk has plenty of opportunity this coming weekend to make a name for himself outside of the maiden and allowance ranks when he goes to post in the Florida Derby.
||Fan Vote||Alex Brown||Paul Moran||Billy Reed||John Conte||Bill Finley|
|Paulick Report||Paulick Report||Alex Brown Racing||At The Races||Billy Reed Says||Conte's Picks
|Pioneerof the Nile||Friesan Fire||Quality Road||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile||Pioneerof the Nile||Pioneerof the Nile|
|The Pamplemousse||I Want Revenge||Dunkirk||Pioneerof the Nile||Old Fashioned||Friesan Fire||Friesan Fire|
|Friesan Fire||The Pamplemousse||Friesan Fire||Quality Road||Friesan Fire||I Want Revenge||Old Fashioned|
|I Want Revenge||Quality Road||The Pamplemousse||I Want Revenge||Dunkirk||The Pamplemousse||The Pamplemousse|
|Quality Road||Dunkirk||I Want Revenge||Desert Party||Quality Road||Old Fashioned||Quality Road|
|Old Fashioned||Pioneerof the Nile||Rachel Alexandra||Old Fashioned||Imperial Council||Dunkirk||I Want Revenge|
|Desert Party||Old Fashioned||Desert Party||The Pamplemousse||Win Willy||Chocolate Candy||Desert Party|
|Imperial Council||Imperial Council||Affirmatif||Imperial Council||I Want Revenge||Win Willy||Dunkirk|
|Theregoesjojo||Desert Party||Stardom Bound||Dunkirk||The Pamplemousse||Hello Broadway||Papa Clem|
|Mafaaz||Theregoesjojo||Mafaaz||Rachel Alexandra||Desert Party||Beethoven||Theregoesjojo|
|Randy Moss||Bill Nack||Valerie Grash||Gary West||Michael Nikolic||Dana Byerly||Jeremy Plonk|
|ESPN||ESPN||Foolish Pleasure||FW Star-Telegram||Gathering the Wind||Green But Game||Horseplayer Pro, ESPN|
|Quality Road||Dunkirk||Friesan Fire||Quality Road||Friesan Fire||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile|
|I Want Revenge||Quality Road||Rachel Alexandra||I Want Revenge||Desert Party||Stardom Bound||Friesan Fire|
|Dunkirk||Friesan Fire||Old Fashioned||Old Fashioned||Pioneerof the Nile||Old Fashioned||Dunkirk|
|Friesan Fire||The Pamplemousse||Stardom Bound||Dunkirk||I Want Revenge||Desert Party||Imperial Council|
|The Pamplemousse||Pioneerof the Nile||Papa Clem||Friesan Fire||Chocolate Candy||I Want Revenge||Quality Road|
|Old Fashioned||I Want Revenge||I Want Revenge||Pioneerof the Nile||Old Fashioned||Quality Road||Mr. Hot Stuff|
|Pioneerof the Nile||Stardom Bound||Imperial Council||Imperial Council||Papa Clem||Theregoesjojo||I Want Revenge|
|Theregoesjojo||Win Willy||Mr. Hot Stuff||Theregoesjojo||Imperial Council||Imperial Council||Old Fashioned|
|Desert Party||Desert Party||Dunkirk||The Pamplemousse||Theregoesjojo||Flying Pegasus||The Pamplemousse|
|Win Willy||Old Fashioned||Desert Party||Beethoven||Quality Road||Beethoven||Beethoven|
|Bill Christine||John Pricci||Vic Zast||Jon White||Richard Eng||Alan Mann||Alicia Wincze|
|Horserace Insider||Horserace Insider||Horserace Insider||HRTV, Santa Anita TV||Las Vegas R-J||Left at the Gate||Lexington H-L|
|I Want Revenge||Pioneerof the Nile||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile||Friesan Fire|
|Desert Party||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile||I Want Revenge||The Pamplemousse||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile|
|Pioneerof the Nile||The Pamplemousse||I Want Revenge||Friesan Fire||Pioneerof the Nile||Stardom Bound||Desert Party|
|Friesan Fire||I Want Revenge||Quality Road||Quality Road||Quality Road||Dunkirk||The Pamplemousse|
|Old Fashioned||Quality Road||The Pamplemousse||The Pamplemousse||Dunkirk||The Pamplemousse||Old Fashioned|
|The Pamplemousse||Old Fashioned||Dunkirk||Old Fashioned||I Want Revenge||I Want Revenge||Quality Road|
|Theregoesjojo||Dunkirk||Old Fashioned||Papa Clem||Old Fashioned||Papa Clem||I Want Revenge|
|Quality Road||Desert Party||Desert Party||Dunkirk||Theregoesjojo||Imperial Council||Chocolate Candy|
|Win Willy||Rachel Alexandra||Imperial Council||Chocolate Candy||Beethoven||Win Willy||Papa Clem|
|Nowhere to Hide||Papa Clem||Chocolate Candy||Theregoesjojo||Patena||Quality Road||Beethoven|
|Art Wilson||Joe Drape||Andy Serling||Jessica Chapel||Brendan O'Meara||Jeff Scott||Lisa Grimm|
|Los Angeles Newspapers||New York Times||NYRA||Railbird||The Saratogian||The Saratogian||SuperfectaBlog|
|The Pamplemousse||Mafaaz||Imperial Council||Rachel Alexandra||Friesan Fire||I Want Revenge||Pioneerof the Nile|
|Friesan Fire||Friesan Fire||The Pamplemousse||Friesan Fire||Desert Party||Friesan Fire||The Pamplemousse|
|Pioneerof the Nile||Pioneerof the Nile||Desert Party||Desert Party||Pioneerof the Nile||Pioneerof the Nile||Friesan Fire|
|Old Fashioned||Quality Road||I Want Revenge||Pioneerof the Nile||Dunkirk||Desert Party||I Want Revenge|
|Dunkirk||Old Fashioned||Rachel Alexandra||I Want Revenge||Quality Road||Flat Out||Quality Road|
|I Want Revenge||The Pamplemousse||Quality Road||Old Fashioned||Old Fashioned||Terrain||Old Fashioned|
|Quality Road||Theregoesjojo||Friesan Fire||Quality Road||The Pamplemousse||Quality Road||Chocolate Candy|
|Imperial Council||I Want Revenge||Dunkirk||Dunkirk||I Want Revenge||The Pamplemousse||Stardom Bound|
|Chocolate Candy||Dunkirk||Just a Coincidence||Imperial Council||Win Willy||Old Fashioned||Desert Party|
|Desert Party||Win Willy||Win Willy||Papa Clem||Imperial Council||Mr. Hot Stuff||Papa Clem|
|Patrick Patten||Peter Denk||Nick Kling||Simon Bray||Todd Schrupp|
|Tbred Bloggers Alliance||Thoroughbred Times||The Troy Record||TVG||TVG|
|Friesan Fire||I Want Revenge||Friesan Fire||I Want Revenge||Desert Party|
|Chocolate Candy||Friesan Fire||Dunkirk||Pioneerof the Nile||The Pamplemousse|
|Pioneerof the Nile||Pioneerof the Nile||I Want Revenge||Old Fashioned||Odl Fashioned|
|The Pamplemousse||Old Fashioned||Imperial Council||Friesan Fire||Friesan Fire|
|I Want Revenge||Dunkirk||Old Fashioned||The Pamplemousse||Quality Road|
|Patena||Quality Road||Quality Road||Dunkirk||Dunkirk|
|Quality Road||Desert Party||The Pamplemousse||Desert Party||I Want Revenge|
|Papa Clem||The Pamplemousse||Pioneerof the Nile||Quality Road||Affirmatif|
|Terrain||Win Willy||Patena||Chocolate Candy||Pioneerof the Niile|
|General Quarters||Theregoesjojo||Beethoven||Imperial Council||Theregoesjojo|
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