PAULICK DERBY INDEX by AmWest Entertainment: A EURO INVADER

by | 11.17.2010 | 12:46am

The last slow weekend before Derby was reflected by a basic stagnation of the Paulick Derby Index by AmWest Entertainment. The only race of note this weekend, the Lane's End Stakes, did not really produce any headlines.The winner Hold Me Back did not crack even one of our Top Ten lists this week and none of the other horses in that field are anywhere to be found in this week's PDI. Perhaps most notable was that the only Derby winner to come out of the Lane's End (Jim Beam Stakes at that time) passed away yesterday. Lil E. Tee left a legacy that does not look to be repeated any time soon, at least not this year. Of course, Hard Spun was the closest since as runner up in the Derby in 2007.


The only major addition to the field was the Kempton winner Mafaaz who despite only being voted on by three of our voters, actually picked up a first place vote. It should be interesting to see how this international experiment will affect this year's race.


Next week and beyond, we look forward to the top prep races including the Santa Anita Derby, Florida Derby and Wood Memorial. Look for a much more significant shakeup in the weeks to come.



Ray Paulick's Analysis

1-Pioneerof the Nile. So his Beyer figure wasn't very good in winning the San Felipe. I have a great deal of respect for Andy Beyer and his figures, but I'm not sure they have got synthetic surface performances figured out as well as races on dirt. It's becoming increasingly popular to knock synthetic track winners, but this son of Empire Maker keeps on winning, and that's still the name of the game.


2- The Pamplemousse. I can see this horse beating Pioneerof the Nile in the Santa Anita Derby if there's not much pace to go with him. Kentucky will be a different story with lots of speed, and I'm not sure a son of Kafwain really wants a mile and a quarter.


3- Friesan Fire. Impressive Louisiana Derby winner will have a long rest between starts if Larry Jones trains him up to the Kentucky Derby as he's recently indicated. The successful road to the roses hasn't traveled through New Orleans that often, however.


4-I Want Revenge. How much is a half interest in the Stephen Got Even colt worth to IEAH stables, which has been attempting to buy him in hopes of catching lightning in a bottle two years in a row following Big Brown's success in 2008. Sources say the price is about $5 million.


5-Quality Road. Here comes the test for the son of Elusive Quality in this weekend's Florida Derby. First time around two turns will tell us a lot about whether or not he is truly Derby material.


6-Old Fashioned. With an additional week's time to reflect, I'm beginning to wonder if maybe Old Fashioned was just a very precocious 2-year-old whose classmates are now catching up to him. He'll need to rebound big time in the Arkansas Derby.


7-Desert Party. Son of Street Cry needs to do win big in this weekend's UAE Derby in Dubai. Anything short of that means Sheikh Mohammed's quest for the Kentucky Derby will have to wait another year.


8-Imperial Council.  Might not win the Kentucky Derby, but something tells me the Empire Maker colt will be an important horse before the year is over.


9-Theregoesjojo. He's my upset special in the Florida Derby, and son of Brahms will be a price to boot.


10-Mafaaz. Sorry, Dunkirk, but the John Gosden-trained winner of the Kentucky Derby Challenge Stakes in England just bounced you off my top 10. Sure, the son of the Machiavellian stallion Medicean is bred for turf and he's lightly raced. But I give a great deal of respect to Gosden, who is no stranger to racing on dirt in the U.S., having stabled in California for a number of years. Besides, Dunkirk has plenty of opportunity this coming weekend to make a name for himself outside of the maiden and allowance  ranks when he goes to post in the Florida Derby.














Ray Paulick
Fan Vote Alex Brown Paul Moran Billy Reed John Conte Bill Finley
Paulick Report Paulick Report Alex Brown Racing At The Races Billy Reed Says Conte's Picks
ESPN, NYT
Pioneerof the Nile Friesan Fire Quality Road Friesan Fire  Pioneerof the Nile Pioneerof the Nile  Pioneerof the Nile
The Pamplemousse I Want Revenge Dunkirk Pioneerof the Nile  Old Fashioned  Friesan Fire  Friesan Fire
Friesan Fire The Pamplemousse Friesan Fire Quality Road  Friesan Fire  I Want Revenge  Old Fashioned
I Want Revenge Quality Road The Pamplemousse I Want Revenge  Dunkirk  The Pamplemousse  The Pamplemousse
Quality Road Dunkirk I Want Revenge Desert Party  Quality Road  Old Fashioned  Quality Road
Old Fashioned Pioneerof the Nile Rachel Alexandra Old Fashioned  Imperial Council  Dunkirk  I Want Revenge
Desert Party Old Fashioned Desert Party The Pamplemousse  Win Willy  Chocolate Candy  Desert Party
Imperial Council Imperial Council Affirmatif Imperial Council  I Want Revenge  Win Willy  Dunkirk
Theregoesjojo Desert Party Stardom Bound Dunkirk  The Pamplemousse  Hello Broadway  Papa Clem
Mafaaz Theregoesjojo Mafaaz Rachel Alexandra  Desert Party  Beethoven Theregoesjojo

 













Randy Moss Bill Nack Valerie Grash Gary West Michael Nikolic Dana Byerly Jeremy Plonk
ESPN ESPN Foolish Pleasure FW Star-Telegram Gathering the Wind Green But Game Horseplayer Pro, ESPN
Quality Road Dunkirk Friesan Fire Quality Road Friesan Fire Friesan Fire Pioneerof the Nile
I Want Revenge Quality Road Rachel Alexandra I Want Revenge Desert Party Stardom Bound Friesan Fire
Dunkirk Friesan Fire Old Fashioned Old Fashioned Pioneerof the Nile Old Fashioned Dunkirk
Friesan Fire The Pamplemousse Stardom Bound Dunkirk I Want Revenge Desert Party Imperial Council
The Pamplemousse Pioneerof the Nile Papa Clem Friesan Fire Chocolate Candy I Want Revenge Quality Road
Old Fashioned I Want Revenge I Want Revenge Pioneerof the Nile Old Fashioned Quality Road Mr. Hot Stuff
Pioneerof the Nile Stardom Bound Imperial Council Imperial Council Papa Clem Theregoesjojo I Want Revenge
Theregoesjojo Win Willy Mr. Hot Stuff Theregoesjojo Imperial Council Imperial Council Old Fashioned
Desert Party Desert Party Dunkirk The Pamplemousse Theregoesjojo Flying Pegasus The Pamplemousse
Win Willy Old Fashioned Desert Party Beethoven Quality Road Beethoven Beethoven













Bill Christine John Pricci Vic Zast Jon White Richard Eng Alan Mann Alicia Wincze
Horserace Insider Horserace Insider Horserace Insider HRTV, Santa Anita TV Las Vegas R-J Left at the Gate Lexington H-L
I Want Revenge Pioneerof the Nile Friesan Fire Pioneerof the Nile Friesan Fire Pioneerof the Nile Friesan Fire
Desert Party Friesan Fire Pioneerof the Nile I Want Revenge The Pamplemousse Friesan Fire Pioneerof the Nile
Pioneerof the Nile The Pamplemousse I Want Revenge Friesan Fire Pioneerof the Nile Stardom Bound Desert Party
Friesan Fire I Want Revenge Quality Road Quality Road Quality Road Dunkirk The Pamplemousse
Old Fashioned Quality Road The Pamplemousse The Pamplemousse Dunkirk The Pamplemousse Old Fashioned
The Pamplemousse Old Fashioned Dunkirk Old Fashioned I Want Revenge I Want Revenge Quality Road
Theregoesjojo Dunkirk Old Fashioned Papa Clem Old Fashioned Papa Clem I Want Revenge
Quality Road Desert Party Desert Party Dunkirk Theregoesjojo Imperial Council Chocolate Candy
Win Willy Rachel Alexandra Imperial Council Chocolate Candy Beethoven Win Willy Papa Clem
Nowhere to Hide Papa Clem Chocolate Candy Theregoesjojo Patena Quality Road Beethoven













Art Wilson Joe Drape Andy Serling Jessica Chapel Brendan O'Meara Jeff Scott Lisa Grimm
Los Angeles Newspapers New York Times NYRA Railbird The Saratogian The Saratogian SuperfectaBlog
The Pamplemousse Mafaaz Imperial Council Rachel Alexandra Friesan Fire I Want Revenge Pioneerof the Nile
Friesan Fire Friesan Fire The Pamplemousse Friesan Fire Desert Party Friesan Fire The Pamplemousse
Pioneerof the Nile Pioneerof the Nile Desert Party Desert Party Pioneerof the Nile Pioneerof the Nile Friesan Fire
Old Fashioned Quality Road I Want Revenge Pioneerof the Nile Dunkirk Desert Party I Want Revenge
Dunkirk Old Fashioned Rachel Alexandra I Want Revenge Quality Road Flat Out Quality Road
I Want Revenge The Pamplemousse Quality Road Old Fashioned Old Fashioned Terrain Old Fashioned
Quality Road Theregoesjojo Friesan Fire Quality Road The Pamplemousse Quality Road Chocolate Candy
Imperial Council I Want Revenge Dunkirk Dunkirk I Want Revenge The Pamplemousse Stardom Bound
Chocolate Candy Dunkirk Just a Coincidence Imperial Council Win Willy Old Fashioned Desert Party
Desert Party Win Willy Win Willy Papa Clem Imperial Council Mr. Hot Stuff Papa Clem













Patrick Patten Peter Denk Nick Kling Simon Bray Todd Schrupp
Tbred Bloggers Alliance Thoroughbred Times The Troy Record TVG TVG
Friesan Fire I Want Revenge Friesan Fire I Want Revenge Desert Party
Chocolate Candy Friesan Fire Dunkirk Pioneerof the Nile The Pamplemousse
Pioneerof the Nile Pioneerof the Nile I Want Revenge Old Fashioned Odl Fashioned
The Pamplemousse Old Fashioned Imperial Council Friesan Fire Friesan Fire
I Want Revenge Dunkirk Old Fashioned The Pamplemousse Quality Road
Patena Quality Road Quality Road Dunkirk Dunkirk
Quality Road Desert Party The Pamplemousse Desert Party I Want Revenge
Papa Clem The Pamplemousse Pioneerof the Nile Quality Road Affirmatif
Terrain Win Willy Patena Chocolate Candy Pioneerof the Niile
General Quarters Theregoesjojo Beethoven Imperial Council Theregoesjojo
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