Equibase Analysis: Who Will Be Game In The G1 Gamely Stakes?

by | 05.24.2018 | 1:46pm
Mopotism during a gallop Breeders' Cup week 2017

The Grade 1, $300,000 Gamely Stakes usually attracts some of the best filly and mare turf stars in North American racing and this year's edition is no different, with four of the eight having made their last starts in other parts of the country.

One of those is Uni (GB), who won the Grade 2 Sands Point Stakes last summer in New York and who recently won the Plenty of Grace Stakes at Aqueduct. Another is Hawksmoor (IRE), winner of the Grade 2 New York Stakes last June and most recently a nose shy of victory in the Dahlia Stakes. Both Madame Stripes (ARG) and Madam Dancealot (IRE) shipped from their home base in California to contest the Grade 2 Distaff Turf Mile at Churchill Downs last month, finishing fifth and seventh, respectively, but both are graded stakes winners on this circuit.

Madame Stripes (ARG) won the Grade 3 Megahertz Stakes in January and Madam Dancealot (IRE)  earned a victory in the Grade 2 Santa Ana Stakes in March. Midnight Crossing (IRE) won the Grade 3 Robert J. Frankel Stakes in December and finished second in the Santa Ana so fits with her best effort, while Beau Recall (IRE) won the Grade 2 Royal Heroine Stakes last month with a strong rally after being last of nine in the early stages. Mopotism runs on grass for the very first time in her 18th career start. She is proven in top company on dirt, having taken the Grade 2 La Canada Stakes in February. Sophia P (GB) rounds out the field, having made her U.S. debut last month with a sixth place finish in the Royal Heroine.

Although having never run on the grass, Mopotism is my top choice to win this year's Gamely Stakes. Second in the field in career earnings with $649,200, Mopotism has proven very capable in being competitive with some of the best fillies and mares in training over the past two years. Starting last summer with a head defeat in the Summertime Oaks, Mopotism ran in four straight grade one stakes races facing the likes of Elate, Forever Unbridled and Unique Bella. When none of those were among the entrants, she won the La Canada Stakes in January with a career best 114 Equibase Speed Figure which she duplicated when second to Unique Bella in the Santa Maria Stakes in February. Coming into the Gamely off a third place finish behind Fault (who won again) in the Santa Margarita, the main question is whether Mopotism can transition that top form to the grass.  Considering sons and daughters of her sire Uncle Mo win graded stakes races on turf as they do on dirt that is easily answered with “Yes.” For example, Uncle Mo's son Motown won the Hollywood Derby last fall and his daughter Ultra Brat won the Gallorette Stakes on the grass last weekend. As such, Mopotism appears well suited to earn her first graded stakes win on the turf in this race.

Madam Dancealot (IRE) won the similar Santa Ana Stakes at this distance over the Santa Anita turf in March, rallying from 14 lengths back early to win by a half-length and earning a strong 112 figure. Two races prior to that, Madam Dancealot (IRE)  earned a career- best 114 figure finishing second in the American Oaks. If she can improve upon her 11th to seventh place effort last month at a shorter distance in the Distaff Turf Mile she could easily be in the thick of the action at the finish.

Uni (GB) ships cross country for the strong Chad Brown barn, bringing along regular rider Irad Ortiz, Jr., giving up an entire day of mounts at Belmont for this race (and three others on the day). Last month, Uni (GB) returned from six months off and won as if she had never been away from the races when victorious in the Plenty of Grace Stakes with a career-best 105 figure. Last summer, Uni (GB)  ran very well in the Lake Placid Stakes when second, following that up with a win in the Sands Point Stakes. As she makes her second start as a four year old, Uni (GB)  can improve off her Plenty of Grace effort and that makes her a fairly strong contender in the Gamely.

Beau Recall (IRE) earned a 105 figure in her last start when winning the Royal Heroine Stakes over the course. In that race, Beau Recall (IRE)   put in a very strong rally from last of nine and was still seventh with an eighth of a mile to go, passing six horses in the stretch to win. Beau Recall (IRE) also is a four year old with room to improve and as she proved herself at the distance of the Gamely last summer when coming up a nose shy of victory in the Del Mar Oaks she must has a good chance to succeed in this event.

The rest of the field, with their best Equibase Speed Figures, is Hawksmoor (IRE) (114), Midnight Crossing (IRE) (111), Madame Stripes (ARG) (117) and Sophie P (GB) (100).

My Selections:
Madam Dancealot (IRE)
Uni (GB)
Beau Recall (IRE)

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