Brisnet: Gotham Winner Enticed Registers Top Speed Rating

by | 03.13.2018 | 9:10am
Junior Alvarado wrapped up on Enticed at the finish of the Gotham

With nothing separating McKinzie and Bolt d'Oro except the stewards' stand, the San Felipe Stakes lived up to its pre-race hype from an entertainment perspective, but when it comes to the top performance of the weekend, the ratings are clear: Enticed was the superlative animal when winning the Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct.

Enticed earned a 104 Speed and a 121.6 Class Rating for his 2 ¾-length Gotham win. The Speed Rating ties him with Fountain of Youth Stakes hero Promises Fulfilled for best in the Kentucky Derby Championship Series (so far), and his Class Rating is best. As far as all male foals of 2015 go, Enticed is the eighth to register at least a 104 Speed Rating. The three with 105s are champion Good Magic in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, Audible in the Holy Bull, and Bolt d'Oro in the FrontRunner; Audible's 105 is the tops for 2018.

Kentucky Derby Championship Series Ratings
Date Track Distance Race Winner Speed Class
February 17 Fair Grounds 1 1/16 Risen Star Bravazo 98 119.4
March  3 Gulfstream 1 1/16 Fountain of Youth Promises Fulfilled 104 120.8
March 10 Tampa Bay 1 1/16 Tampa By Derby Quip 98 120.3
March 10 Aqueduct 1 mile Gotham Enticed 104 121.6
March 10 Santa Anita 1 1/16 San Felipe Bolt d'Oro* 98 120.7

*Bolt d'Oro placed 1st on disqualification of unofficial winner McKinzie

The Tampa Bay Derby was the other Kentucky Derby points race of the weekend, and Quip earned a 98 Speed Rating for his 19-to-1 upset win. Neither Quip nor Enticed were part of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 3 body, which is part of the reason the mutuel field closed as the 4-to-1 favorite among the 24 wagering options.

McKinzie and Bolt d'Oro came into the San Felipe off layoffs of two and four months, respectively, and both had previously registered triple-digit Brisnet Speed Ratings, which could explain why Future Wager bettors sided with the San Felipe as most predictive of success among the three preps. Bolt d'Oro closed as the 7.1-to-1 second choice (among individual wagering interests) in Pool 3 of the Derby Future while McKinzie was the 9.4-to-1 second choice. Undefeated maiden-allowance winner Justify was the 6.2-to-1 favorite among the 23 individual options.

Speaking of Justify, he earned a 104 Speed Rating in his second career start, a first-level allowance win on Sunday, March 11, at Santa Anita Park. He currently has 0 Kentucky Derby points and is attempting to become the first horse since Apollo in 1882 to win the Kentucky Derby without having raced as a two-year-old, but there's no denying he's fast, as he joins Kentucky Oaks hopeful Paved as the only 3-year-olds this year to register multiple triple-digit Speed Ratings. proprietary data such as the Speed Ratings used here is available in the Ultimate Past Performances, which are free to players when they wager. The Speed Rating measures how fast a horse ran a particular race and is comparable across distance, surface, and location. For more information, click here

  • the buzz23

    Want to see more from this colt before he can be considered a serious Derby contender. He looked very green and drifting about the last 1/8, but had separated himself from the field and was probably not sure what to do. He could be a factor with added maturity. This colt also runs with a pretty high head, but there have a been a few before him who have won the derby with that carriage.

  • Neal Baker

    I didn’t think Enticed beat very much in the race. Plus he appeared to be climbing down the stretch. No thanks. I’ll look for others for my Derby horse.

    • Michael Castellano

      True, but I have yet to see any one horse looks unbeatable for the approaching Derby.

      • Ronald Dodgen

        You must of missed JUSTIFY who will be the favorite in any race he enters period.

        • Michael Castellano

          He also beat a weak field.

      • Neal Baker

        We shouldn’t be looking for an American Pharaoh or Smarty Jones in every crop of three-year-olds. Is there a dominant colt on the current Deby trail ? no. But Mckenzie sure looks like the goods.

        • Michael Castellano

          The Derby is such a roll of the dice, a horse has to be a second better than the rest to have a real good chance at winning. Bolt and McKenzie could be a second faster than the rest, but it’s a bit too early to tell.

  • Michael Castellano

    It would be nice, being from New York, to have a real contender for the Derby this year. But I wish that for selfish reasons, to photograph him in the up and coming Wood. Don’t know what to make of with the 104 speed rating, but looks like a highly competitive Derby field this year.

  • Ronald Dodgen

    I have no faith in Aqu seems like a lot of horses struggle over it and the slow times.

    • Michael Castellano

      Times are relative to the track conditions. Aqueduct has not attracted top contenders in recent years, but the track itself is no better or worse than any of the other major tracks. It’s the Winter weather that discourages the owners and trainers of the better horses. The better jockeys also head to Florida in the Winter.

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