Ellis Starr

Equibase Analysis: One Of Two Brad Cox Trainees Could Spring Preakness Upset

Only four of the 13 horses entered to run in the Grade 1, $1.5 million Preakness Stakes ran in the Kentucky Derby two weeks ago, leaving more than two-thirds of the Preakness field consisting of horses which did not run in the Derby for various reasons. Of the group which ran in the Derby, fifth […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who’s Most Likely To Win The Kentucky Derby?

The 145th running of the Grade 1, $3 million Kentucky Derby presented by Woodford Reserve is one of the more wide open editions of the race in recent memory. Only one horse, Tacitus, has won two “Road to the Derby” races in succession and many of the favorites in prep races for the Derby have […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Looks Best In Charles Town Classic?

This year’s edition of the Grade 1, $1 million Charles Town Classic brings together a field of 10 plus one also-eligible and includes last year’s winner Something Awesome as well as Imperative, who won the race in 2014 and again in 2017. However, both previous winners enter this year’s race off two or more very […]

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Equibase Analysis: Assessing The Arkansas Derby’s Top Contenders

On the Road to the Kentucky Derby, we are down to two prep races – this Grade 1 Arkansas Derby and the Grade 3 Stonestreet Lexington Stakes at Keeneland. Many more points are on the line in this race, with the winner earning 100 and therefore assured a starting spot in Louisville in three weeks. […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Will Grab 100 Points In The Santa Anita Derby?

This year’s Grade 1, $1 million Santa Anita Derby drew a field of six. Two of the sextet, More Ice and Synthesis, appear to be fillers as neither have the credentials to win. However, the other four appear about as evenly matched as they can get so if nothing else, this should be an exceptionally […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Might Upset War Of Will In Louisiana Derby?

Since breaking his maiden in his fifth career start (first on dirt) last fall, War of Will has won two stakes races in a row – the Grade 3 LeComte Stakes and the Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes, both at Fair Grounds, and will  be attempting to win the Grade 2, $1 million Louisiana Derby […]

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Equibase Analysis: Several Contenders Could Show Vast Improvement In Fountain Of Youth

The 73rd running of the Grade 2, $400,000 Fountain of Youth Stakes appears to be a bellwether race on the “Road to the Kentucky Derby,” with 11 horses lined up and a few appearing poised for “breakout” efforts. Those proven in top company already include Grade 3 Nashua Stakes winner Vekoma, a talented colt but one […]

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Equibase Analysis: Who Looks A Threat In The Buena Vista Stakes?

The Grade 2, $200,000 Buena Vista Stakes drew a field of 10 female turf milers but the race goes through Vasilika, one of the biggest success stories of 2018. Claimed for $40,000 in February, Vasilika earned $623,328 in winning nine of 11 races including eight in a row, three which were graded stakes. Her streak […]

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Equibase Analysis: Contention May Go Deep In Risen Star Stakes

The Grade 2, $400,000 Risen Star Stakes will likely see a big field of 14 break from the gate, with 14 entered plus one also-eligible. Many eyes will be on Grade 3 LeComte Stakes winner War of Will, who breaks from the extreme outside. Although he romped by four lengths in a field of 12 […]

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Equibase Analysis: Best Shot To Upset Knicks Go In Sam F. Davis Stakes?

The Grade 3, $250,000 Sam F. Davis Stakes is the stepping stone to the Tampa Bay Derby next month and for some, on to the Kentucky Derby by virtue of offering “Road to the Derby” points to the top four finishers. Knicks Go leads the field in terms of accomplishments, having won the Grade 1 […]

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