Posts Tagged ‘horse racing business’

PAULICK’S THOUGHTS FROM A TRIPLE CROWN NOTEBOOK

Monday, June 8th, 2009
By Ray Paulick
This was a Triple Crown for the little guys, and I’m not talking about jockeys.

We had a Kentucky Derby won by a 50-1 longshot, Mine That Bird, a gelding that once sold for $9,500 as a yearling. He was trained by Bennie L. "Chip" Woolley Jr.,  a black hat wearing cowboy from New Mexico who some years earlier befriended Mark Allen, one of Mine That Bird’s owners, in a bar fight. The trainer had saddled just one winner this year before the Derby. Anyone outside of New Mexico who knew him was probably a relative.

The Preakness was won by Rachel Alexandra, a filly bred by Dolphus Morrison, a retired businessman from Alabama with a modest breeding and racing operation. That’s right, Alabama, not exactly horse country. But it puts an addendum on the old adage that a good horse can come from anywhere. So can a good horse breeder, and Morrison has enjoyed success as a breeder even before Rachel Alexandra became a national star.

The Belmont winner, Summer Bird, was bred and owned by a couple from India who are retired medical professionals. Dr. Kalarikkal Jayaraman was a cardiologist and wife Vilasini was a pathologist who discovered a love of horse racing in Arkansas and eventually bought a farm in Ocala, Fla., where Kalarikkal Jayaraman trains the young horses before sending them to the racetrack. Summer Bird’s trainer, Tim Ice, is in his first year as a head trainer. His earliest memories of racing come from Waterford Park in West Virginia, a track that used to be the poster child for the leaky roof circuit until West Virginia got slot machines and the track was transformed into Mountaineer Park.

The only “spoiler” in the little guy Triple Crown was Jess Jackson, a billionaire winemaker from California who bought Rachel Alexandra from Morrison and a partner after her 20 ¼-length win in the Kentucky Oaks. Morrison is a traditionalist when it comes to racing, saying he didn’t think fillies belong in the Classic races, which he believes should be a showcase for future stallion prospects (that would seem to preclude geldings from running in them, too). But Morrison is also a capitalist, and was willing to sell his prized filly for the right price.

Jackson, despite his many years as a racing fan (as a young child he saw Seabiscuit run in Northern California), is not a traditionalist. He likes to see the best run against the best, especially if he has a stake in the outcome. He swooped in to Baltimore and won the Preakness with Rachel Alexandra, then exited center stage with the Medaglia d’Oro filly. Where or when she’ll resurface is anyone’s guess, but let’s hope it brings on the same dramatics as the Preakness.

Among the beaten in this Triple Crown were Dubai’s ruler, Sheikh Mohammed, who in addition to being a leading buyer at virtually every major sale throughout the world, purchased the top two 2-year-old colts in training in North America last year, Eclipse Award winner Midshipman and runner-up Vineyard Haven (shouldn’t Jess Jackson have bought a horse with that kind of name?). The sheikh, for reasons of pride, insists on training his horses in Dubai each winter and dispersing them to major races like the Kentucky Derby, a program that hasn’t yet been very successful. To Kentucky he came, he saw, he failed to conquer.

Triple Crown training king D. Wayne Lukas failed to hit the board in the three Triple Crown races, but it was good to have him back on the beat after a drought. Bob Baffert came to Churchill Downs in search of his fourth Kentucky Derby win with a live contender, Pioneerof the Nile, but after finishing a distant second behind Mine That Bird was left repeating the line from the movie “Talladega Nights: The Ballad of Ricky Bobby”: “If you ain’t first, you’re last.” And Nick Zito, who talks of Triple Crown glory in almost Biblical terms, made appearances in the Derby and Belmont, but couldn’t muster much of a run in either race. These three Hall of Famers help make the classic races something special.

Then there is Todd Pletcher, a future Hall of Famer and multi-Eclipse Award winning-training who seems to be followed by a dark cloud whenever he comes to Churchill Downs in the springtime. Pletcher started three in this year’s Derby, failing to hit the board with any of them, and is now 0-for-24 in America’s most famous horse race. Hang in there, Todd. As a Chicago Cubs fan who was not around for their last World Series championship in 1908, I feel your pain. Cub fans have an expression that might work for you, too: Wait till next year.

Some additional thoughts from a Triple Crown notebook:
- Major stakes at Oaklawn Park produced two Triple Crown race winners, Rachel Alexandra, who won the Grade 2 Fantasy Stakes as her final prep before the Kentucky Oaks, and Summer Bird, who was third behind Papa Clem and Old Fashioned in the Grade 2 Arkansas Derby. It is amazing to many people (except for those on the Graded Stakes Committee) that the Arkansas Derby remains a Grade 2 race after producing Triple Crown races winners like Smarty Jones, Afleet Alex, Curlin and now Summer Bird in recent years.

- Sunland Park races deserve closer examination in the grading process as well. Mine That Bird came to Kentucky after two races at the New Mexico track: second in the Borderland Derby and fourth in the Sunland Derby. Gabby’s Golden Gal, winner of Saturday’s Grade 1 Acorn on the Belmont undercard, won the Sunland Park Oaks. No Sunland Park races have ever been graded by the committee, but since the addition of slot machine revenue they have dramatically increased purses and improved the quality of runners the races attract.

- Breeders should be excited about the emergence of two young Kentucky-based sires, Birdstone and Medaglia d’Oro, whose first crop of foals are now aged three. Birdstone, who upset Smarty Jones in his Triple Crown bid at the 2004 Belmont and also won the Champagne and Travers, sired Mine That Bird and Summer Bird. He stands at the Beck family’s Gainesway Farm. Medaglia d’Oro, a top racehorse over several seasons who finished a close second to longshot Sarava in the 2002 Belmont before winning the Jim Dandy and Travers, sired Rachel Alexandra. Medaglia d’Oro, who started his career at John Sikura’s Hill ‘n’ Dale, then moved to the Haisfield family’s Stonewall Stallions, was the subject of a recent bidding war involving several stallion farms, with Sheikh Mohammed’s Darley emerging last week as the winner.

- “Practice? We’re talking about practice.” Did Calvin Borel move too soon in the Belmont aboard Mine That Bird? Would some practice runs on the mile-and-a-half Belmont oval in preliminary races on Belmont Day or earlier in the week have benefited the lovable Cajun, who shrugged off his lack of experience at Belmont Park as not important while boldly guaranteeing victory for Mine That Bird? Borel became a media darling during this year’s Triple Crown, which he nearly swept on two horses. He jetted to California for the “Tonight Show With Jay Leno,” made an appearance on “Late Night With David Letterman,” was a hit during a Triple Crown luncheon and never seemed to stop talking. He did everything but ride during the week of the Belmont. But if someone had asked Calvin about practicing over the Belmont Park strip before the race, is it possible he would have said something like this?

- Business on the Triple Crown was strong in light of the poor economy. Betting on the Derby was down, not surprisingly. The morning line favorite, I Want Revenge, was scratched and wet track conditions such as those horseplayers found on Derby Day generally lead to wagering declines. Preakness betting was up significantly from 2008, though attendance took a huge hit when Magna officials changed their policy and prohibited fans from bringing their own beer into the infield. The Belmont, whose numbers boom when there is a Triple Crown on the line, did not have that advantage this year, but did well in comparison to the last non-Triple Crown year, 2007. Adding to the good news was increased television ratings for the Derby and Preakness on NBC. ABC’s Belmont Stakes telecast will almost certainly have a smaller audience than in 2008, when Big Brown was going for a Triple Crown.

How much handle from the Triple Crown is leaking to offshore bookmakers offering online wagering is anyone’s guess. These businesses do not have contracts with racetracks or horsemen’s organizations, and pay nothing to support the game. It’s beyond me why anyone who cares about horse racing would do business with these sites or  (whether they are established publications, web sites, or fan blogs) accept advertising from them. They are aggressive in seeking places to advertise, and are willing to pay top dollar to market their products. Again, they put nothing back into the game. The Paulick Report refuses to accept advertising from these businesses and applauds all the other web sites and publications who have a similar policy.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

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WAS POLYTRACK MAJOR FACTOR IN DROP IN KEENELAND WAGERING?

Monday, April 27th, 2009
By Ray Paulick
When Keeneland initially reported total handle fell 19% for its just completed spring meeting, I was ready to declare the Polytrack racing surface as the principal reason for such a significant drop. I’ve heard from many horseplayers who have told me they’ve either cut back on their Keeneland wagering since the synthetic surface was installed before the fall 2006 meeting or they’ve dropped the track altogether from their wagering activities. I can say from personal experience that the last couple of spring meetings here have been very difficult to handicap, and not just because it’s a short meeting with horses arriving from different racing circuits.

But as college football guru Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast my friend.” A closer look at the numbers suggests other factors contributed to the declines, and it’s not just the weak economy that has slowed nearly every industry.

All sources daily average handle, including on-track bets on live Keeneland races and imported simulcasts, plus off-track wagering (intertrack, OTBs, account wagering) dropped 9.6% from 2008, from  $8,935,354 last year to $8,074,957 in 2009. Total handle for the meeting (which fell from $142,965,657 to $121,124,351) isn’t a legitimate indicator, since there were 15 racing days in 2009 compared with 16 last year. In addition, there was one fewer weekend day this year because the Lexington, Ky., track was closed on Easter Sunday. Easter fell before the 2008 Keeneland meeting opened. Weekend cards produce higher handle than weekdays.

Still, that percentage drop in average daily handle is worse than the year-end national decline for 2008 (7.2%) and what we’ve seen so far in 2009 (minus 7.4% through March).

Also contributing to the decline in Keeneland wagering was the smaller fields for its races this year: a 5.4% drop, from 9.21 horses per race in 2008 to 8.71 in 2009. Average field sizes were smaller for the 117 Polytrack races and the 25 turf races. Smaller fields lead to fewer betting opportunities. Small fields plagued the winter meeting at Turfway Park, the northern Kentucky-tracked co-owned by Keeneland. Wagering there plunged 24.6% at its January-March meeting.

Keeneland has now seen declines in all-sources average daily handle in both 2008 and 2009 after hitting an all-time record of $10.6 million per day in 2007, the first spring meeting with the Polytrack surface. This year’s level of daily wagering is roughly the same as the 2005 spring meeting ($8,077,144) and the lowest since 1999, when a daily average of $7,362,660 was bet.

At least two tracks experienced positive meetings in 2009, including Gulfstream Park (it cut back from 87 to 79 racing days and saw its average daily handle increase by 14.2%) and Oaklawn Park, which saw a 4.6% increase in daily wagers. Santa Anita Park’s winter-spring meeting closed recently with a 12% decline in handle.

Keeneland’s declines came shortly after the Horseplayers Association of North America rated it the No. 1 track in North America using a formula that looked at field size, takeout and wagering variety. It was also the first meeting that almost all account wagering platforms took bets on the Keeneland races, which were shown exclusively on the TVG network.

The best news to come out of the Keeneland meeting was the absence, for the third consecutive spring, of any catastrophic racing injuries, according to Jim Williams, the track’s director of communications. Keeneland is co-owner of the company that manufactures Polytrack.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

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