Posts Tagged ‘commercial breeders’

STUD FEES: PENDULUM SWINGS TOWARD BREEDERS

Friday, December 12th, 2008

By Ray Paulick

Thursday’s announcement by Walmac Farm of a “breeders stimulus plan” that allows breeders to pay 2009 stud fees from the proceeds of the sale of weanlings or yearlings is further proof that an increasing number of Kentucky’s stallion farms are recognizing mare owners as partners in their business. The steep declines in bloodstock prices in 2008 and the very real threat that many breeders could go out of business if the economics do not change has led virtually every major stallion station to reduce 2009 stud fees and relax deadlines for when the payments are due.

In the most simple terms, without mare owners, stallion farms would have no customers. If stud fees were not reduced and payment schedules relaxed, there would be fewer breeders around for the 2009 breeding season. The changes were fueled by a survival instinct.

There are only a handful of stallion farms continuing what in recent years was the widely accepted policy of stud fees due in September or November of the year of conception. Even some of those holdout farms are showing flexibility on payment schedules. Most stallion operations have changed to a payable when foal stands and nurses program; some in that category offer discounts for breeders who are willing to pay stud fees early. Although the stands and nurses policy has been in place for years at some farms, a number of breeders pointed to the decision by Lane’s End to adopt that policy for 2009 as a bellwether move. Others quickly followed suit.

Two relatively new stallion stations, Darley and Stonewall Farm, have created unique incentive programs for many of their stallions. Some farms that reduced 2009 stud fees in September during the Keeneland yearling sale have come back with a second round of fee reductions because bookings were coming in at an alarmingly slow pace.

“Changing from payable on Sept. 1 to out of proceeds is a huge difference,” one breeder told the Paulick Report. “It gives a breeder two years of the use of his money. It should be the universal policy. It gives breeders the chance to stay in business. And let’s face it, the stallion farms need us. I guess you’ve got to really worry when stallion farms are hit; they’ve been in total control.”

“All the stallion managers announcing reduced fees want to be seen as benefactors,” said breeder Garrett Redmond. “In fact, they are trying to preserve their own business. Mare owners will be short of money next year because their 2008 sales were for less than needed or horses were not sold at all.  They need help to pay fees due when foals stand and nurse in 2009.  Reduction in fees due in spring 2010 will not help.”

“There’s a tendency to think the stallion guys took it to us for a long, long time and we overpaid, and we get even now,” said breeder Craig Bandoroff of Denali Stud. “That’s not totally fair. It’s a market economy ruled by supply and demand. I love the idea of stands and nurses, but if you want to pay on Nov. 1 you get a discount. That’s the best deal going. Payable Sept. 1 was terrible; you hadn’t sold your yearlings yet.”

“The pendulum is definitely swinging back from stallion farms to the mare owner,” said Olin Gentry of Gaines-Gentry Thoroughbreds. “Popularity and demand has allowed some farms to get away with Sept. 1, but there’s more and more pressure to give stands and nurses. There aren’t many holdouts.”

One farm staying with a Sept. 1 policy on some of its stallions is Airdrie Stud. “We believe that everybody has the right and should have the opportunity to set their stud fees according to the way they are the fairest relative to the product they are selling,” said owner Brereton Jones. “We raised Indian Charlie’s fee 50% and he’s already booked full; his fee is due Sept. 1.”

Jones said some other fees will be due at time of foaling. “We work with each breeder who calls in here, and it depends on the stallion they want to breed to; it’s the free enterprise system at its best. We’ll discuss packages with anybody; if someone wants to breed three mares to a stallion, we will work out an arrangement. I think the general attitude of breeders is that Airdrie’s fees have always been extremely fair, and consequently they’ve been successful.”

The key to Airdrie’s fees and schedule, Jones said, is flexibility. “Our policy is geared to the success of both the owners of the stallion and the owners of the mares.”

Darley set all stallion contracts for stands and nurses when it was established at the former Jonabell Farm Sheikh Mohammed purchased in 2001. In 2007, the farm introduced pay from proceeds fees that stallion nominations manager Charlie Boden said is actually a “pay when you sell with forgiveness” policy. “We try to assess the risk on the front end,” Boden said, “but if we’re wrong and the resulting offspring brings half the stud fee, we don’t bill them for the difference.” The policy was introduced a few years earlier at Darley’s stallion operation in England.

“We’re trying to help breeders make a prudent decision in not overbreeding a mare,” Boden said. “It makes more sense to people these days. I think the days of overbreeding mares should be screeching to a halt unless the stallion is overpriced.”

Darley’s policy lets breeders decide whether to pay from proceeds of a weanling or yearling sale. Not all stallions are eligible for the program; Boden said he tries to limit it to stallions standing for $20,000 or less.

Boden also said Darley has offered what he calls a “Grade 1 club” on certain stallions, giving a free season to mares that were Grade 1 winners or Grade 1 producers.

In light of Sheikh Mohammed’s enormous wealth, Boden was asked if these policies were designed to put the squeeze on competing stallion farms. “Sheikh Mohammed wants breeders to make money,” Boden said. “He wants the business to thrive. He’s a fan of the sport and the industry as a whole. He’s not trying to put anyone else out of business. He’s trying to help a breeder raise a top horse at a competitive price. His goal is to perpetuate an industry that he loves.”

Stonewall Farm’s first breeding season was 2006, and in order to make a splash in the industry it adopted several creative incentive plans for breeders. One offered free seasons (for stallions the farm owns wholly) to graded stakes-winning or graded stakes-producing mares. Another provides a free return season to stallions for mares that produced a stakes winner from that stallion. A third policy permits a breeder to come back for a free mating for a mare if it produced a top three weanling price for that sire.

In an effort to reach out to some of the lucrative state incentive programs, Stonewall is now offering a complimentary no-guarantee season for approved mares that will foal in Louisiana, New York or Pennsylvania, in exchange for being named co-breeder (the mare owner would remain the full owner of the foal). By so doing, Stonewall would be eligible for half of the breeders awards in those states.

The programs evolved from Stonewall’s owner, Audrey Haisfield, and her husband, Richard, according to Clark Shepherd, a Stonewall manager and pedigree analyst. “They looked at how things were done in the business and decided it didn’t have to be that way,” he said. “We’ve since seen a lot of other outfits begin to follow suit.”

Will the innovative policies, fee reductions and relaxed payment schedules be enough to help breeders return to profitability?

There seems to be no consensus on that question.

“In the face of the financial crisis, a lot of syndicate managers might be a little too dramatic in fee reductions,” said Olin Gentry, “particularly some of the ones that announced a second round of cuts. People are going to breed their mares; they’re just coming in slower because they are tentative, waiting to see if there are going to be more reductions.

“It’s all a cycle. If you put pressure on stallion values, what people are willing to pay for yearlings is affected. You need a happy medium where it’s fair. You don’t want the stallion owners to make all the money and you don’t want it too easy for the breeder. “

Garrett Redmond disagreed. “Owners can avoid a problem in 2010 by not breeding in 2009,” he said. “If stallion managers are serious about helping, they should retroactively reduce the fees contracted in 2008. The least they can do is change the fees coming due to the fees they are advertising for 2009.  They might also convert contracts to foal shares or pay when you sell.”


“The one thing you are seeing is no matter what the advertised stud fee is, your client wants to know, ‘Can we do better?’” said Bandoroff.

Another breeder boiled it down to a simple good news/bad news scenario.

"The good news is prices are down for stallions," he said. "The bad news is it shows what deep shit we are in."

(Note to readers: Take our poll on how stallion farms have reacted in the face of the economic crisis and falling bloodstock prices. The Daily Paulick Poll can be found on the left-hand column of the Paulick Report home page.)

Copyright © 2008, The Paulick Report

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MONDAY MORNING QUARTERBACK: BREEDERS BLEEDING RED INK

Monday, October 6th, 2008
By Ray Paulick

When Rob Whiteley managed the Foxfield commercial breeding operation for corporate raider Carl Icahn, he had to justify every dollar on the ledger sheets for the real-life Gordon Gekko. You couldn’t pull the wool over Icahn’s eyes on fiscal matters.

Today, free from Icahn, Whiteley runs his own operation, Liberation Farm, breeding and selling Thoroughbreds for the commercial market. He applies many of the lessons and disciplines he learned from his old boss. Coming out of the recent Keeneland September yearling sale, the most important marketplace for commercial breeders, Whiteley examined the profitability of the business he has dedicated himself to since leaving academia 25 years ago (his pre-racing resume includes Stanford, Rutgers, Harvard and the University of California at Berkeley).

The resulting article was published in the Thoroughbred Daily News last Friday, Oct. 3. If you haven’t read it, and you have any interest in the future of this business, Whiteley’s analysis is a must-read. (The TDN is a subscription-only site, but there is no charge for an online subscription.)

What Whiteley found may have been shocking to some, though not necessarily surprising to the many small, blue-collar breeding operations scattered across the rural landscape of Central Kentucky: breeders are bleeding red ink. Many of them face uncertain futures, even without the greater financial crisis brought on by tighter credit markets from the Wall Street/banking meltdown.

Whiteley found that fewer than one in five yearlings catalogued to the Keeneland September sale led to a break-even or profitable result for its breeder. He detailed the example of how a yearling produced through a $20,000 stud fee and selling for $70,000 at public auction (3.5 times the stud fee) does not cover all the expenses associated over the 30 months it took to plan, produce, raise and bring the horse to market.

The most profitable days of the September sale, of course, came at the front end, when not quite two of five yearlings catalogued (38% on days one and three, 37% on day two) broke even or sold for a profit. After the first eight sessions of the 15-day sale (in other words, all of the second half), profits were as thin as a Parisian runway model – the high was 14% of horses catalogued on day nine and the low 0% on day 15.

Worse, Whiteley’s expense assumptions in his profit-loss formula may be on the conservative side. He doesn’t factor in the general and administrative expenses that most businesses absorb or the three in 10 chance that a mare will have a non-productive year (barren, slipped or dead foal).

The problems breeders face are mounting. The price of hay, feed, fencing and vanning are quickly accelerating. Auction prices are retreating, and there is little being done on the national level to bring new end-users (horse owners) into racing. The industry is retracting on many fronts.

Not all breeders are affected equally. For those operations that are secondary businesses or hobbies for multi-millionaires or billionaires who inherited their money or made it in other industries, the losses may be used to write-off profits made elsewhere. Major breeders who stand high-end stallions have that lucrative end of their business to hold them up.

But where this hits especially hard is the backbone of the industry, the small mom-and-pop operations that may own a half-dozen mares, sell their best yearlings and race the rest. They don’t have income from other industries or trust funds to balance their spreadsheets, but they do, collectively, have a huge impact on the overall infrastructure of the horse industry.

Whiteley isn’t whining, and no one put to a gun to his head to buy all those mares he now owns (or co-owns with a bank). He also understands that free-market economics, and the laws of supply and demand, need to run their course. He didn’t publish his complaints without also coming up with what he believes is a short-term solution.

The article describes the industry’s “big three” as sale companies, the veterinary community and stallion owners, and suggests they will be the next group to suffer if the economics for breeders do not improve, and they are forced out of the industry. Fewer breeders will result in lower demand for stallion and veterinary services, and certainly lower profits for Keeneland and Fasig-Tipton.

Whiteley calls for an economic stimulus plan to be borne by the big three: for 2009 only, a 50% reduction in stud fees, a 50% reduction in the cost of services (and medication markup) provided by veterinarians and a 50% reduction in the commission collected by sale companies.

Of course the chances of this actually happening are somewhere between slim and none. Stallion owners will say their fees are based on demand, and veterinarians will cite their rising costs and the investments they’ve made in equipment and education. Sale companies will say they’ve got to making a living, too.

Something, somewhere has to give, or we will see a major exodus from the industry of small businesses. That won’t be good for anyone.

MORE BAD NEWS ON THE RACING FRONT. Turfway Park closed its fall meeting with significant declines in business, both on and off-track, where handle fell 18% and 20%, respectively. There were circumstances to the numbers being so far down (aren’t there always?), but they add yet another chapter to a very troubling sequence of bad economic news for the pari-mutuel side of the Thoroughbred industry.

Keeneland did a very good thing when it purchased Turfway Park and perhaps kept it from being developed for commercial use, though I’m not sure why it is necessary for the cash-rich company to have a partner in Turfway that has no interest in the success of horse racing (a casino company). Many blue-collar Kentucky breeders race their horses at Turfway Park, and the decline of the track since its purchase by Keeneland and partners has been yet another blow to those breeders, who are now shipping their horses to race out of state in increasing numbers to places like West Virginia and Pennsylvania.

Turfway needs an injection of capital and creative or intellectual investment that Keeneland so far is not providing. Investing in Turfway is one way of helping Kentucky’s breeders.

 Copyright © 2008, The Paulick Report

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