Archive for the ‘Horse Racing’ Category

QUALITY ROAD GALLOPS; MONDAY WORKOUT DECIDING FACTOR

Sunday, April 26th, 2009
FROM NEW YORK RACING ASSOCIATION PRESS OFFICE

QUALITY ROAD RECEIVES PATCH FOR SECOND QUARTER CRACK

 
Kentucky Derby hopeful Quality Road returned from a mile and three-quarter gallop on the Belmont Park training track with a tinge of blood from a newly-patched quarter crack, but his connections remain optimistic he will make the May 2 “Run for the Roses.”
A five-furlong breeze Monday morning will be the determining factor on whether the Elusive Quality colt makes the trip to Churchill Downs.   
“He has to work to our liking and come out of it perfectly,” said Jimmy Jerkens, who trains Quality Road for owner/breeder Edward P. Evans.   “If he takes one bad step anywhere, forget it.” 
At about 7 a.m. Sunday, hoof specialist Ian McKinlay replaced a set of wires, inserted a drain, and then put an acrylic patch on the quarter crack on the inside of the colt’s right-front hoof. 
“He’s well on the mend,” said McKinlay, who successfully treated a quarter crack on the colt’s right-hind foot that he developed during his track record performance in the Grade 1 Florida Derby on March 28th
“This is live tissue – we’re not changing a flat tire, so there are a lot of judgment calls, McKinlay said. “Everything had been stabilized and when I changed the wires today, the crack opened up.  There was a bit of sensitive tissue aggravated during the process.  Hopefully, there won’t be a tinge of blood tomorrow when he breezes.”
Jerkens said the hoof will be treated Sunday with a drying agent called “Thrush Buster” and also with Animalintex poultice. 
“He’s got 24 hours to get better,” said Jerkens.  “I would have liked to have seen no blood, but it didn’t surprise me because he was still tender.  He’s sound, he galloped the way he usually does, but I would have been more optimistic without blood.”
 

QUALITY ROAD DERBY STATUS IN QUESTION WITH SECOND QUARTER CRACK

Friday, April 24th, 2009

From New York Racing Association Press Office

            Quality Road, one of the favorites for the Kentucky Derby, has developed another quarter-crack, putting his status for the May 2 “Run for the Roses” in question.
            Trainer Jimmy Jerkens said Friday morning at Belmont Park he first noticed the crack, this one on the inside of his right-front hoof, on Thursday after the Elusive Quality colt returned from a routine morning gallop.
            “He wasn’t sore or anything,” said Jerkens. “We brought him in to pull his shoes afterward and that’s when we noticed it.”
            Jerkens said he was optimistic that Quality Road, who appears fully recovered from a slight quarter-crack in his right-hind hoof, could still make the 1¼-mile Derby. Noted hoof specialist Ian McKinley, who successfully patched the first injury, is scheduled to treat the crack Friday afternoon.
            A quarter crack is a crack that appears in the wall of the hoof, often starting at the coronet band, where the hoof meets the hair, and growing down. It can also start in the wall and move upward.

            "If Ian can lace it this afternoon, and the horse can gallop tomorrow, he could put a patch on right away and he can breeze on Sunday," said Jerkens. "If he wants to wait another day, he can gallop Sunday, and then breeze Monday."

            Quality Road, owned by Edward P. Evans, is scheduled to depart Belmont Park for Churchill Downs on Tuesday. The record-setting winner of the Florida Derby owns a 3-1-0 record and earnings of $632,830.

Statement from hoof specialist Ian McKinlay, regarding Quality Road:
            “I saw Quality Road (Thursday) morning and that’s when we noticed the crack [in the right-front hoof]. I did him up with Animalintex (poultice), which draws out the infection. This morning, the crack was very clean. Obviously, he didn’t go to the track, so they tubbed him. They’ll dry him up and I’ll see him later this afternoon.
            “It was a straight crack, with no infection. I really don’t think it is as serious as the other one [right-hind quarter crack]. If we were able to get right on top of it, I’ll probably lace it this afternoon. You have to remember that we are dealing with a living organism and it has a mind of its own. There is only so much we can do, and then we hope for the best. I’ll know more when I see him this afternoon, and Saturday morning will tell us a lot.”

HEY COMMISH! YOUR CHANCE TO BE HEARD

Monday, April 20th, 2009

By Ray Paulick
Are you happy with the job racing regulators are doing? Could these individuals who serve on commissions, boards, or government agencies, many of them as unpaid political appointees, be doing a better job? What about the paid staff at the commission level, or the racing commission stewards or veterinarians?

That’s what Ed Martin, the president of the Association of Racing Commissioners International, wants me to sound off about during a panel discussion tomorrow at the RCI’s annual convention in Lexington: what’s working and what isn’t working on the regulatory side of this struggling industry.

I’ve got my own opinions to be sure, mostly about things that aren’t working. But I want to know what you think. If you’re an owner, breeder, trainer, horseplayer, industry employee or casual fan, I’d like to know what message you think I should carry to this gathering of racing commissioners. Pretend you’re racing commissioner for a day: what are the issues most important that racing regulators can act upon? What needs addressing now?

Please use the comment section below to make your voice heard. (If you have something to say you would prefer not be seen publicly, please send me an email at ray@paulickreport.com).

 

 

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

Support the Paulick Report. Make a
donation today.

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world
Sign up for our Email Flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary from Ray Paulick

LIVE BLOGGING THE BLUE GRASS CARD, ARKANSAS DERBY

Saturday, April 11th, 2009

By Ray Paulick

10:30 P.M. UPDATE …..Daily Racing Form’s Mary Rampellini is reporting from Oaklawn Park that beaten Arkansas Derby favorite Old Fashioned came out of his second-place finish to Papa Clem with a slab fracture in his right knee. Trainer Larry Jones described the injujry to Rick Porter’s son of Unbridled’s Song as possibly career-ending but not life threatening. He is due to ship to Lexington Monday, where he may have surgery at Rood & Riddle equine hospital.

Live blogging of today’s Toyota Blue Grass Stakes card from Keeneland and the Arkansas Derby from Oaklawn Park kicks off around 4 p.m.

In the meantime, today’s Lexington Herald-Leader front-page sports article on the Blue Grass Stakes (“Polytrack coincides with drop in class: Blue Grass Stakes winners haven’t fared well lately”) is sure to win reporter Alicia Wincze some icy stares from Keeneland officials, led by Rogers Beasley, the track’s director of racing who may still harbor resentment against the paper for its Pulitzer Prize-winning investigative series 23 years ago that led to sanctions against the beloved University of Kentucky basketball team. Some UK basketball fans know how to carry a grudge!

But Wincze is right: the ol’ Blue Grass ain’t what she used to be. Perhaps it’s the Polytrack installed in 2006 or maybe it’s the three weeks between the Blue Grass and the Kentucky Derby, which some horsemen now consider to be too little time between races. The three weeks hasn’t seemed to hurt the same day’s Arkansas Derby, which has had more high-profile winners in recent years than the Blue Grass, among them Curlin, Lawyer Ron, Afleet Alex and Smarty Jones.

The Blue Grass still retains its Grade 1 ranking from the Kentucky-based Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association’s Graded Stakes Committee (of which Beasley is a member), while the Arkansas Derby is Grade 2. It’s a sore subject down in Hot Springs, and for good reason.

The Blue Grass lost its top Grade from 1990-98 when the committee downgraded it to Grade 2, a year after the Arkansas Derby was stripped of its Grade 1 status. Until 1988, the race was run not three weeks before the Kentucky Derby but just nine days before the Run for the Roses, on a Thursday afternoon. Track management recognized the need to give horsemen more time between races to attract better fields, and eventually got its Grade 1 ranking back.

In the 1990s, there were nine Blue Grass starters who went on to win one or more Triple Crown races (Unbridled, Summer Squall, Strike the Gold, Sea Hero, Prairie Bayou, Thunder Gulch, Editor’s Note, Louis Quatorze and Lemon Drop Kid). But since 2000, Street Sense, the 2007 Blue Grass runner-up who won that year’s Kentucky Derby, is the only Blue Grass starter to win a Triple Crown races.

This decade has been the leanest ever for the Blue Grass in terms of producing Triple Crown race winners. The 1940s produced four winners, there were two in the 1950s, eight in the 1960s, six in the 1970s, three in the 1980s, and the aforementioned nine in the 1990s.

But that will all be forgotten if this year’s winner goes on to Triple Crown glory.

4:00 p.m. … Keeneland’s big stakes day got under way  a few minutes ago in the Shakertown, a 5 1/2-furlong turf spring won in off-the-pace fashion by Heros Reward and jockey Javier Castellano. Cannonball, who chased early pacesetter Mr. Nightlinger (last year’s winner of the Grade 3 event), finished second, beaten a head, with with Chamberlain Bridge another head back in third and Due Date fourth.

My exacta of Hellvelyn and Hewitts tanked.

The winner is a hard-hitting 7-year-old Maryland-bred gelding by Partner’s Hero who’s won 11 of 29 starts. Trainer Dale Capuano trained Heros Reward up to the Shakertown off a more than five-month layoff, his last start coming with fifth to Desert Code in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint. Final time was 1:04.24 for 5 1/2 furlongs after fractions of :22.25, :45.87 and :57.89. The course was rated good on a sunny day with temperatures in the low 60s, a welcome relief following Friday’s torrential storms.

Shakertown chart.

4:15 p.m. … Eternal Star got the job done  in the Grade 2 Commonwealth, coming from just off the pace under Eibar Coa to beat defending champ Rebellion bythree-quarters of a length. My Pal Charlie and Ravalo were third and fourth, respecitvely, after battling on the lead for the opening five furlongs of the seven-furlong contest.

Eternal Star, trained by Michael Trombetta, was winning for the 10th time in 21 career starts for Harry and Tom Meyerhoff. The 5-year-old Kentucky-bred is by the Carson City stallion Five Star Day out of Retsina’s Princess, by Eternal Prince. He was coming off narrow loss to Ah Day in the Toboggan at Aqueduct March 7, closing from well back to just miss at the wire. 

Time for the seven furlongs on Polytrack was 1:21.17 after fractions of :23.16, :46.12, and 1:09.37.

Commonwealth chart.

4:25 p.m. … Morning linemaker Mike Battaglia hung even-money odds on female turf champion Forever Together for the Grade 2 Jenny WIley, but in the early betting the Breeders’ Cup Filly & Mare Turf winner wasn’t even the favorite. Early action was on Paul Pompa’s Backseat Rhythm, who recently switched from the Pat Reynolds barn to trainer Kiaran McLaughlin. Backseat Rhythm  is coming off a nose win in the Grade 3 Hillsborrough at Tampa Bay Downs. Forever Together hasn’t raced since the Breeders’ Cup.
Lady and Visit have been scratched from the Jenny Wiley, leaving a field of seven fillies and mares going 1 1/16 miles on a turf course rated good for the earlier Shakertown. 

4:30 p.m. … Love the ShamWow! ads on TVG, especially now that I know a little bit more about Vince Shlomi, the pitchman for the spongy product. You can read about Vince’s recent run-in with the law here.

4:40 p.m. … Maybe Battaglia’s estimated odds will be on target. As post time approaches for the Jenny WIley, the odds are dropping on Forever Together and they’re going up on 

4:45 p.m. … That’s what I like to see! A champion coming back to run like a champion. Forever Together, confidently ridden by Julien Leparoux, won the Jenny Wiley by a length in a most impressive performance. Not sure what trainer Jonathan Sheppard’s been doing with this daughter of Belong to Me all winter, since she only had two published  workouts in her past performances (what’s that all about?), but she was ready to run. 

Leparoux allowed Forever Together to fall back near the back of the field as Kiss With a Twist set slow fractions. He urged Forever Together to pick it up entering the far turn, she swung wide at the top of the stretch, then won without really being seriously asked down the stretch by her rider, who never uncocked his whip. Rutherienne tried to make a race of it, finishing second, with Kiss With a Twist hanging in for third and Rustic Flame fourth. 

Battaglia nailed the odds perfectly, as Forever Together paid $4 for her eighth win in 15 starts for the Augustin Stable of  George Strawbridge. Call me a sucker, but I went for the early money play, betting on Backseat Rhythm to win.

Final time was 1:46.93 after fractions of :25.92, :51.83, 1:17.12 and 1:40.80 on a track labeled good. 

Jenny Wiley chart.

5:00 p.m. … No major early money odds swings in the Blue Grass. A little action on Mafaaz, bet down from 12-1 morning line to 8-1, but everyone else is pretty  much in accordance with the morning line. Hold Me Back looks like a million-dollars in the paddock, a fact confirmed on TVG by Jill Byrne, who knows a bit more about horseflesh than I do.

For what it’s worth, I’m taking a stab at Patena, who was a big disappointment in the slop at Fair Grounds in the Louisiana Derby last out, his first start for trainer Rick Dutrow. A cough may have interrupted or compromised his training up to that race, and I like his chance to run much bigger today. But he will be up against it with Hold Me Back looking like a legitimate favorite off his 3-for-3 record on different Polytrack surfaces at Arlington, Keeneland and Turfway Park for trainer Bill Mott and WinStar Farm.

5:05 p.m. … It’s a great accomplishment for any breeder to have a horse in a Grade 1 race, but for a small breeding operation to have two horses in the same race is really something. Hats off to Carrie Brogden and her family’s Machmer Hall for having two starters in the Blue Grass, Join in the Dance and Loch Dubh, bred in the name of The Answer.

5:15 p.m. … TVG did a nice feature on the NBA star Rashard Lewis, one of the owners of Join in the Dance. Overall, the TVG coverage has been quite good, though Frank Lyons seems underutilized in the coverage. He’s always seemed to be one of the stronger parts of TVG’s big-race coverage.

5:20 p.m. … Perhaps dreams do come true. Tom McCarthy, the owner and trainer of General Quarters, is on his way to the Kentucky Derby after the son of Sky Mesa gave him the biggest win of his life, taking the Blue Grass over favorite Hold Me Back. 

McCarthy, a 75-year-old Army veteran and retired high school principal who has trained a small string of horsers for 45 years, has attended every Kentucky Derby in his home town of Louisville, Ky., since 1959. This year he’ll be there to saddle the only runner in his one-horse stable.  He claimed General Quarters  for $20,000 out of his first start at Churchill Downs last May 30, from Ken and Sarah Ramsaey and trainer Wesley Ward. Most recently, after General Quarters had won the Sam F. Davis Stakes at Tampa Bay Downs in February, McCarthy turned down some seven-figure offers for the colt, saying, "You can’t sell a dream."

General Quarters got a great trip from Eibar Coa, racing in mid-pack early, then moving toward Join in the Dance, the early pacesetter, as the field approached the far turn. He hit the front around the three-sixteenths pole, opened up by several lengths, and under aggressive handling held off the late charge of Hold Me Back to win by 1 1/2  lengths. West Coast invader Massone was third, a length and a quarter back, with Terrain fourth and Join in the Dance fifth. Theregoesjojo had to be one of the bigger disappointments in the Blue Grass, finishing ninth as the second wagering choice behind Hold Me Back.

Coa is also the rider of Musket Man, who defeated General Quarters in the Tampa Bay Derby and then went on to victory in the Illinois Derby at Hawthroen last weekend. 

McCarthy earned $465,000 from the Blue Grass’s $750,000 purse, and backers of the colt were rewarded with a $30.60 mutuel. Time of the Blue Grass was 1:49.26 for 1 1/8 miles after fractions of :24.40, :49.06, 1:13.31, and 1:37.32 for the mile. General Quarters ran a strong final furlong under 12 seconds after racing wide much of the way.

My pick, Patena, beat one horse.

Blue Grass chart.

5:45 p.m. … As much as I love the feel-good story of Tom McCarthy, I think it’s extremely doubtful General Quarters will win the Kentucky Derby. This wasn’t a particularly strong Blue Grass Field. Nevertheless, when the pack of sports columnists and turf writers arrives on the Churchill Downs backstretch for Derby week, the saga of General Quarters and McCarthy will give them something to write about that fits the romance and tradition of America’s most famous race. And if he does win, well, won’t that be quite an inspiration for all the dreamers and small-time stables, giving them hope that they too might someday stand in the infield winner’s circle under the shadow of the Twin Spires.

6:05 p.m. … Good news for all you college lacrosse fans out there. ESPN2 will show the Duke-Virginia game to its conclusion. Duke is pounding Virginia 15-9 with less than 4:00 minutes to go. Not good for people tuning in to expect horse racing, but, hey, that’s the breaks. Actually, a scroll says the Arkansas Derby/Blue Grass (tape delay) has been shifted to ESPN Classic. Duke lacrosse…aren’t they famous for something?

6:10 p.m. … This lacrosse game is fantastic. Duke is ranked No. 8 in the country and they are on the verge of upsetting No. 1 Virginia.  My only question is, is a touchdown in lacrosse worth six points?  There appears to be hundreds of people on hand at the lacrosse stadium, probably similar to an average day at Aqueduct, but there are probably hundreds  more tuning in on ESPN2  to watch these two great lacrosses rivals.

6:15 p.m. … Duke is playing keep away as the clock winds down. Great strategy.

6:16 p.m. … Do you believe in miracles? Yes! The lacrosse game is over. DUKE WINS!

6:35 p.m. … Jeanine Edwards asked good questions of Larry Jones in the ESPN2 interview, and he didn’t blink in his responses. Sounds like he really will retire at year’s end, at least for a short spell.  Post parade for the $1 million Arkansas Derby, with Old Fashioned rightly the heavy favorite. I think Papa Clem is going to run a big race for trainer Gary Stute, going right to the front in a manner that would make Gary’s dad, trainer Mel Stute, proud. Mel’s won all kinds of races over the decades, but he’s always been one of those "speed is king" kind of trainers. Papa Clam is owned by Bo Hirsch, son of the late Clement Hirsch, a California racing icon for many years.

6:45 p.m. Even money on Old Fashioned. Win Willy, the late runner who upset Old Fashioned in the Rebel Stakes, is 4-1, as is Papa Clem.

Uh-oh….Hank Goldberg likes Papa Clem. I’m running back to the windows to see if I can refund my ticket on the horse.

6:50 p.m. …  Wrong again….Old Fashioned gets the lead…. but Papa Clem gets the win. He came from off the pace, as new rider Terry Thompson sent Old Fashioned to the front and set pretty quick fractions (:22.65, :46.19 and 1:11.15). Old Fashioned tried to spurt away at the quarter pole, but he was under pressure from Flat Out and Papa Clem, who rallied wide under Rafael Bejarano.

Old Fashioned proved a stubborn rival down the stretch, even after it looked like Papa Clem would roll on by. Papa Clem won by about a half-length, with Summer Bird a non-threatening third. It was just the second win from six starts for the Smart Strike colt out of Miss Houdini, by Belong to Me. He was coming off consecutive seconds, to Friesan Fire in the Louisiana Derby and to PIoneerof the Nile in the Robert B. Lewis at Santa Anita Park.

Papa Clem covered the 1 1/8 miles on a fast track in 1:49.01.

Gary Stute said to Jeanine Edwards the difference between the Louisiana Derby and Arkansas Derby was that Papa Clem had a chance to trainer over the Oaklawn strip for several weeks, unlike the Louisiana Derby, where he arrived just two days before the race.

The win, coupled with I Want Revenge’s dominance in New York in the Gotham and Wood after losing twice to Pioneerof the Nile, suggests that the West Coast horses this year may have the upper hand in the Kentucky Derby. Papa Clem and I Want Revenge, who began their careers on synthetic tracks in California have made a smooth transition to dirt. Will Pioneerof the Nile be able to say the same thing three weeks from today? 

7:00 p.m. … One last thought: Hank Goldberg, you’re the man! Great pick.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report 

Sign up for our
Email flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary from Ray Paulick

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

WALDROP AND THE NTRA: AN ARMY OF ONE?

Thursday, March 26th, 2009
By Ray Paulick
Alex Waldrop is a good soldier who reminds me of Hiroo Onoda, the World War II legend who in 1944 was sent to Lubang island in the Philippines and told by his Japanese superiors to wage guerrilla warfare against the allied forces and to never give up. Along with a few others who survived a 1945 invasion by American soldiers, Onoda conducted operations from a base in the mountains of the island, even after leaflets were dropped saying the war had ended. Letters from loved ones begged Onoda to come home, but even after his fellow holdouts left him or died, Onoda carried out the orders given him.

It wasn’t until his one-time commanding officer flew to Lubang in 1974 that Onoda gave up the fight.

Waldrop, in his capacity as CEO of the National Thoroughbred Racing Associations, hasn’t fought as long as Hiroo Onoda did, but someone needs to tell him the war is over. The NTRA has about the same relevance and power as the Japanese Imperial Army did after the end of World War II.

It’s not Waldrop’s fault. He came into an untenable situation in December 2006 when the unraveling of the NTRA and Breeders’ Cup relationship was complete and the NTRA was left with little money and even less authority to carry out a mission to be the “league office” for horse racing. An organization that began in 1998 with high hopes and lofty goals of organizing and marketing a dysfunctional business that lacked structure, coordination and a strong central authority — the hallmarks of success for other sports — was, by 2006, a pale shadow of its former self.

What survived of the NTRA after its divorce from the Breeders’ Cup in 2006 was an understaffed press office and an industry lobbying effort in Washington, D.C., and not much more. Illusions of marketing grandeur or meaningful changes in how the sport was structured were gone like the budget the NTRA once had.

Eighteen months into Waldrop’s tenure at the NTRA, the Thoroughbred industry had a serious implosion. The filly Eight Belles died after the finish of the Kentucky Derby with millions watching on television in horror. Compounding the problem, Rick Dutrow, the trainer of Derby winner Big Brown, revealed one of our sport’s dirty little secrets, that anabolic steroids were in rampant use and, shockingly to many people, were perfectly legal. The public outcry was enormous, and the NTRA was ill-equipped to deal with it, because it lacked the authority to speak for the industry over which it had little control.

When hints of a Congressional inquiry surfaced, there was a scramble to react. The industry did what it always does: form committees and make recommendations. Foremost among those was a decision by Waldrop and the NTRA board of directors to create a new entity, the Safety and Integrity Alliance, which drafted an ambitious code of standards on a variety of safety and welfare issues for horses and jockeys. It was and is an admirable document, however meaningless it mostly likely will turn out to be.

Tracks that comply with the code of standards will be accredited by the alliance, sort of a “good horsekeeping seal of approval” that a track owner can frame and hang on his wall. And what about tracks that don’t comply? Well, they’ll have a little extra wall space. That’s the carrot and stick that Waldrop is armed with.

It goes back to something said during the Congressional inquiry held last June, when members of the House of Representatives repeatedly pointed out to Thoroughbred industry leaders how important it was for them to get their act together and establish a meaningful central authority unless they wanted the federal government to do it for them. After Alan Marzelli, the president of the Jockey Club, testified about some of the safety recommendations his organization was making to the industry, he was asked how the Jockey Club intended to have its recommendations adopted.

Marzelli’s response: “We believe in the power of persuasion.”

The power of persuasion (aka, committee recommendations) is what has kept this industry from realizing its potential as a major league sport. The harmless carrot and stick that Waldrop now carries in his briefcase is about as powerful as the army that Hiroo Onoda commanded on Lubana island for all those years after World War II.

Onoda survived, which I’m afraid is about all Waldrop and the NTRA and the rest of the racing industry can do with our current structure (or lack thereof). Maybe, just maybe, if enough tracks comply with the Safety and Integrity Alliance’s code of standards, we can stop the bleeding that’s been going on for some time, long before Eight Belles took her last breath or Rick Dutrow uttered his last insult. But stopping the bleeding is not a cure for what ails us.

What we have isn’t working. What we need are fewer organizations and fewer committees, more followers and fewer (but stronger) leaders. Why, someone pointed out to me the other day, do we need separate organizations like the NTRA, the Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association, the Jockey Club, the Breeders’ Cup, the National Horsemen’s Benevolent and Protective Association, the Thoroughbred Horsemen’s Association and so many others? He answered his own question: because none of those groups is willing to cede authority and lose whatever little fiefdom they control.

Waldrop keeps fighting, seemingly against all odds. When racing’s obvious problems were brought up twice recently in the New York Times, first by sports columnist William Rhoden and then by turf writer Joe Drape, Waldrop fired back in a blog at the NTRA’s web site, defending the Safety and Integrity Alliance and pointing out progress that had been made since the death of Eight Belles. He even tried to incite an angry mob to join his army and attack the messengers at the New York Times for the audacity of their observations.

It was rather pitiful. I’m not sure that Waldrop, like Hiroo Onoda, is much more than an army of one.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

Support the Paulick Report. Click here to make a donation today.

Sign up for our Email flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary from Ray Paulick

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

ICE FEVER

Thursday, January 29th, 2009
By Ray Paulick

Random notes while waiting for the ice to melt …

The devastating snow and ice storm that hit Kentucky earlier this week has created serious economic hardships on Thoroughbred farms, many of which are without electricity and have suffered major damage, just as the foaling season is hitting full swing and the breeding season about to begin. Let’s hope organizations like the American Horse Council, the NTRA, Thoroughbred Owners and Breeders Association, the Kentucky Thoroughbred Association and the Kentucky Equine Education Project are in contact with government officials to seek relief, now that Gov. Steve Beshear has asked the Obama administration to declare a federal emergency.

Horse farms are already under extreme economic pressure because of the plunge in bloodstock prices, and this latest problem is only making things worse for them. It’s at times like these that these alphabet soup organizations can actually do some good.

DID FRANK STRONACH’S ONE-VOTE MARGIN over IEAH Stables in the Eclipse Awards outstanding owner category come by virtue of several racing secretaries who work for him? I have a great deal of respect for Stronach’s racing and breeding operation, which has produced solid numbers for many years now, but I just can’t fathom how 2008 was an Eclipse Award-winning year for him.  Ahmed Zayat’s stable earned slightly more money but only ranked sixth in the number of first-place votes. IEAH had a far superior year in terms of Grade 1 winners. George Strawbridge’s Augustin Stable had a better year when the number of starters was taken into consideration, as did the racing stables associated with Sheikh Mohammed. Here is the year-end ownership standings by money.

Apart from the National Turf Writers Association, which has historically published how its members vote, there is no disclosure from Daily Racing Form or the National Thoroughbred Racing Association about who votes – never mind who each individual votes for. But the NTRA should insist that racing secretaries or any other voters who work for racetracks owned by Stronach’s Magna Entertainment not be allowed to vote in categories where there is a potential conflict of interest. That would include the leading owner and leading breeder categories. The awards are too important to permit any conflicts of interest or suspicions of impropriety.

In the owner and breeder categories (the latter of which was for years determined by a committee vote), there seems to be little imagination or thought put in by voters, who more often than not look at which owner and breeder is at the top of the money list that is supplied with the ballot. If the people who vote for Academy Awards were that lazy, then “Paul Blart: Mall Cop” would win the Oscar for best picture this year.

Opportunity (the number of starters) should play a role in voting for outstanding achievement by an owner or breeder. Twice in the last eight years, a breeder who produced two individual champions in the same year from a small band of broodmares (Virginia Kraft Payson, with Farda Amiga and Vindication in 2002, and Aaron and Marie Jones, with Speightstown and Ashado in 2004) did not even get enough votes to be among the three finalists! That’s insulting to the thousands of Thoroughbred breeders who either can’t afford to or don’t choose to maintain massive numbers of broodmares.  (Click here to see what I wrote about this issue a few years ago at Bloodhorse.)

The NTRA needs to address this, either by eliminating the vote and simply giving the awards for leading owner and breeder to whoever wins the most money, or by changing the system of selecting the outstanding individuals in these two categories. I don’t think enough voters understand the importance of this category or what “outstanding” means when it comes to owning or breeding Thoroughbreds.

SPEAKING OF THE NTRA, what is its future? The organization is a shell of its former self, when it had widespread industry support and a mission to improve the economics of racing and breeding through increased pari-mutuel handle, marketing and greater exposure on television. Following its split from the Breeders’ Cup, the NTRA has lost much of its economic clout and influence, as it no longer has the annual championships to promote to the general public or to race sponsors that were tied in to group purchasing (i.e., John Deere, NetJets, Dodge), which only a few years ago produced upwards of $100 million a year in sales. Following the NTRA-Breeders’ Cup “divorce,” group purchasing through NTRA Advantage has dropped significantly.

Today, the NTRA seems to be playing more defense than offense, reacting to crises (i.e., the death of Eight Belles in the Kentucky Derby, Congressional inquiries, totalizator problems) but not really having the resources to go on the offensive in any areas, including marketing and promotion.

Complicating matters (and this isn’t new) is the ongoing struggle to maintain membership in the NTRA. Churchill Downs Inc., which is tabbed to pay approximately $400,000 in dues for its various tracks in 2009, hasn’t recommitted to membership. A source says Churchill might considering paying $200,000 in dues.  An NTRA official told the Paulick Report he hopes Churchill executives see value in the NTRA’s legislative activities, the “Racing to the Kentucky Derby” television series on ESPN, NTRA Advantage purchasing, the National Handicapping Championship, and the Safety and Integrity Alliance. The interesting thing about the latter, I’ve been told by sources, is that Churchill Downs CEO Bob Evans is the one who insisted the NTRA do something about the safety issues that led to the creation of the Safety and Integrity Alliance.

Magna apparently hasn’t committed to renewing its NTRA membership, either. If the NTRA loses the two largest track ownership companies, it will be further weakened, perhaps terminally.

CORPORATE SPONSORSHIPS ARE A CHALLENGE in the current economic climate, whether it’s the PGA Tour, NASCAR or horse racing. But it was, nevertheless, a surprise to see Bessemer Trust drop its sponsorship with the Breeders’ Cup. I would think the wealth management firm formerly chaired by Ogden Mills (Dinny) Phipps and now run by his cousin, Stuart Janney Jr., is encountering the same economic challenges that many financial institutions are (though Bessemer’s investment strategy is believed to be conservative).  

Janney responded to an email with the following comments: “I would say our reasons for dropping out are as follows. First, we have been a sponsor for some time, which means many of our clients have been entertained at a Breeders’ Cup event and having them back again is possibly less appealing than providing a different venue. Second, the two-day format works better for others than it does for us. Third, we have never been able to really derive full value from the TV ads as our target audience is very narrowly focused. Fourth, as we look at other sponsorships and ways to thank our clients or meet prospects, it helps in tighter times to have this money available. We believe our involvement with the Breeders’ Cup has been beneficial to Bessemer and the staff at the Breeders’ Cup has been a pleasure to work with.”

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

Sign up for our Email Flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary.

YOU ARE WHAT YOU EAT?

Saturday, January 24th, 2009
Following the 2008 Breeders’ Cup, where European horses had their best results ever, the Paulick Report Daily Poll questioned readers about why the European runners fared so well. Was it the recent California ban on anabolic steroids, leveling the playing field for international runners who have never raced on the medication? Was it the synthetic surface at Santa Anita used for the traditional dirt races? Or were European horses simply better this year? The results were mixed, but 47% of respondents thought the synthetic surface made the biggest difference.

One thing that never crossed my mind was a possible difference in the feed given horses in Europe vs. what they are fed in the United States. Sharon Hinsley, who with her husband runs a public stable in Chicago and Tampa Bay, thinks that could be a factor in the increasing fragility of American-based runners. 

Pending the results of scientific research, some ingredients have been banned from feed in Europe, where a movement for “natural” or “green” food ingredients is much farther along than in the U.S. GMO feed (with genetically modified organisms) is labeled as such in European Union countries. (Click here to read about European protests against GMO food.) Nutrition experts here caution us, however,  that “natural” products are not necessarily any safer, and that all food ingredients should be monitored and tested.

The following commentary by Sharon Hinsley (who can be reached at Dhhstable1@aol.com) certainly opens for us a new debate about food ingredients, one that has been ongoing in European and Asian countries. Her views do not necessarily reflect those of the Paulick Report, but we think the subject matter is important enough to be discussed. Ray Paulick

By Sharon Hinsley
My husband and I have been owners and trainer of a public racing stable for over 22 years. As with so many others whose life’s work has been in this industry, we have seen first-hand the increasing fragility of the Thoroughbred and its growing impact on this once-great and beloved sport.

Following the European success in the 2008 Breeders’ Cup at Santa Anita, I couldn’t help but think back to several of the comments voiced in a magazine article about the success of the European runners. For instance, a comment was made that American-bred horses competing in Europe race significantly more than their counterparts here in the United States.

In the same discussion, someone questioned whether changes in the water or type of feed may be contributing to the durability problem. While factors such as racing surface, breeding practices oriented toward speed and precocity, steroids and medication (both legal and otherwise) have dominated the discussions about the seemingly increased fragility of our horses, have we missed some very important and fundamental contributing factors? Could something as basic as what we feed our horses be a part of the durability and soundness problem? Is there something different about the feed given to horses in Europe versus what we feed our horses in the United States?

A review of UK horse feed Web sites shows some interesting terminology not seen associated with horse feed in the United States. For instance, many of the UK feeds contain statements such as “non-GMO” and “Identity Preserved”. GMO stands for Genetically Modified Organism and Identity Preserved refers to quality assurance programs and certifications aimed at ensuring that products can be traced through the entire production cycle so they have not been contaminated by genetically modified organisms.
 A genetically modified organism is the result of genetic engineering. Also known as transgenic organisms, they are the product of laboratory processes that take genes from one species and insert them into another in an attempt to obtain a desired characteristic. Although genetic engineering holds great promise, particularly in the field of medicine, its application in the agricultural arena has been primarily focused on herbicide tolerance and pesticide control. By making a crop herbicide resistant, herbicides can be applied over and over again allowing the plant to live while everything else around it dies. This has proven to be economically advantageous for the producers of the herbicides but potentially troublesome for consumers, not to mention the environment. And what of the effect that ingestion of these genetically modified crops might have on horses?
There is a significant difference between what has happened in the United States agriculturally and in many parts of Europe where GMOs have been banned from being grown or used in any feed or food.    Within the United States (and Canada), the proliferation of genetically modified organisms within the food supply is troubling, particularly given the high degree of uncertainty that exists with respect to the health effects of GMOs in food. This is equally true for the unknown effects that GMO feed may be having on our horses.
The current technology of genetic engineering is not nearly as precise as most would believe. The insertion of new genetic material is still a highly inaccurate procedure. Unintended side effects are often encountered, and many of these unintended side effects are not well-studied or documented. Genetically modified plants have been known to create toxins. The plant may be significantly altered with respect to its nutrient content, the balance of proteins within the plant may be disrupted, again with unknown consequences. In addition, due to the use of antibiotic resistant marker genes, GMOs may be contributing to increased antibiotic resistance, particularly in critical gut bacteria. GMOs may also be contributing to increases in allergies. The effect of GMOs in what we feed our horses is simply not well-known or understood. In the United States, though, it is likely we are feeding our horses a steady diet of GMO feed. Could this be a contributing factor to the durability issues of the modern Thoroughbred? It is certainly food for thought.
As horsemen we must become educated about what is in our feeds. We cannot assume that the quality of grains we used to get in decades past is the same as what is now in bags of feed. The recipes of our favorite brands may have changed without us even knowing. Oftentimes, we may simply see that bright label saying "new and improved." However, “new and improved” might mean something substantially different from what we would expect it to mean. We must put pressure on our mills to produce non-GMO feed free of pesticide contamination just like our European counterparts have available to them. We need to start asking and validating the contents and quality of the feed we provide to our horses.   Even though every horse in the racing business is for sale one way or another, we have a moral obligation to preserve the durability and quality of the breed no matter who owns the horse we raise. Garbage in/garbage out and eventually we are all out of business.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

Sign up for our Email Flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary.

WORLD’S BEST HORSES OF 2008

Tuesday, January 13th, 2009

By Ray Paulick
There are a number of ways to look at the just-released World Thoroughbred Rankings, which were compiled by racing officials/handicappers from around the globe and published by the International Federation of Horseracing Authorities. Which country had the highest representation? What about the stallions that produced the highest number of world-class runers and the trainers who developed them?

The rankings of horses from around the world are updated throughout the year, and can be viewed at the Web site of the IFHA, which maintains historical rankings as well. Click here to see the complete list of 2008 World Thoroughbred Rankings.

Leading Sires of Horses 
On World Thoroughbred Rankings
Sire Ranked
Horses
Sire’s Sire Farm Stands Located
Galileo 8 Sadler’s Wells Coolmore Ireland
Montjeu 8 Sadler’s Wells Coolmore Ireland
Sadler’s Wells 8 Northern Dancer Pensioned Ireland
Danehill 7 Danzig Deceased Ire/Aus
Kingmambo 6 Mr. Prospector Lane’s End Kentucky
Chester House 5 Mr. Prospector Deceased Kentucky
Fuji Kiseki 5 Sunday Silence Shadai Japan
Encosta de Lago 4 Fairy King Coolmore Australia
Flying Spur 4 Danehill Arrowfield Australia
Rock of Gibraltar 4 Danehill Coolmore Ireland
Tiznow 4 Cee’s Tizzy WinStar Kentucky
Agnes Tachiyon 3 Sunday Silence Shadai Japan
Cape Cross 3 Green Desert Kildangan Stud Ireland
Giant’s Causeway 3 Storm Cat Coolmore/Ashford Kentucky
Grass Wonder 3 Silver Hawk Breeders’ Stallion Station Japan
Jet Master 3 Jet Lightning Klipdrif Stud South Africa
O’Reilly 3 Last Tycoon Waikato Stud New Zealand
Rahy 3 Blushing Groom Three Chimneys Kentucky
Street Cry 3 Machiavellian Darley Kentucky
Zamindar 3 Gone West Banstead Manor Great Britain

From a nationalistic point of view, American interests dominated the standings by placing 84 U.S.-trained horses on the list of Northern and Southern Hemisphere runners, aged 3 and up, who were weighted at 115 pounds or higher. That list is headed, of course, by the 2007 Horse of the Year, Curlin, who was weighted at 130 pounds, equal to the weight assigned the Irish-trained 3-year-old, New Approach. The number of U.S.-trained horses is nearly twice as many as the 43 from Great Britain making the list, but it only stands to reason since there are far more races and graded stakes in the United States than in any other country. Following Great Britain was Australia ,with 36; Japan, 28; France, 27; Ireland, 21; Hong Kong, 13; Germany, 11; United Arab Emirates, 10; South Africa, 6; New Zealand, 3;  Spain, 3; Canada, 2; Brazil, 1; Hungary, 1; Italy, 1; and Turkey, 1.

Not surprisingly, Aidan O’Brien, the young master of Ballydoyle in Ireland, trains the most runners on the list with 14. O’Brien is private trainer for Coolmore’s John Magnier and his associates. Sir Michael Stoute and Saeed bin Suroor were next, with nine each, followed by Robert Frankel, 8, Andre Fabre, 7, and Mike de Kock, with 6.

From a sire standpoint, Coolmore was a dominating force, as the accompanying table shows, led by their trio of the pensioned legend, Sadler’s Wells, along with young stars Galileo and Montjeu, both of whom were sired by Sadler’s Wells. Each of the three was represented by eight horses on the World Rankings. Following that top trio is another stallion associated with Coolmore, Danehill, who shuttled between Australia and Ireland. He has seven horses ranked at 115 pounds or higher for 2008, and also is the sire of two of the others on this list, Flying Spur and Rock of Gibraltar.

The highest American-based sire on the list is the Lane’s End stallion Kingmambo, who is represented by six runners on the World Rankings. Next is Chester House, a son of Mr. Prospector who stood at Juddmonte Farm before his unfortunate and premature death at age 8 in 2003. He was produced by the preeminent broodmare, Toussaud, who died most recently.

The 2008 World Thoroughbred Rankings were compiled by the World Rankings Supervisory Committee (a panel of handicappers/racing secretaries affiliated to the International Federation of Horseracing Authorities) in Hong Kong in December 2008. The committee comprised :

Nigel Gray (co-chairman)
Hong Kong

Garry O’Gorman (co-chairman)
Ireland

Greg Carpenter
Australia

Gerald Sauque
France

Dominic Gardiner-Hill
Great Britain

Phillip Smith
Great Britain

Harald Siemen
Germany

Marco Rinaldi
Italy

Kazuhito Matano, Dr
Japan

Takahiro Uno
Japan

Dean Nowell
New Zealand

Mike Wanklin
Singapore

Roger Smith
South Africa

Melvin Day
UAE

Tom Robbins
USA

with the following also present as observers :

David Hunter
Australia

Steven Lym
Canada

Bahadir Gur
Turkey

Taylan Karaer
Turkey
* * * * * *

For further details on the World Thoroughbred Rankings (WTR), please contact :

Nigel Gray, co-chairman World Rankings Supervisory Committee
Head of Handicapping and Race Planning, Hong Kong Jockey Club
Telephone +852 2966 8337
Email nigel.c.gray@hkjc.org.hk

Garry O’Gorman, co-chairman World Rankings Supervisory Committee
Senior Flat Handicapper, Irish Turf Club
Telephone +353 5997 26596
Email gaogorman@eircom.net

Tom Robbins, chairman North American Ratings Committee
Vice President (Racing), Del Mar Thoroughbred Club
Telephone +1 858 792 4230
Email tomr@dmtc.com

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

Sign up for our Email Flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary.

YOU’VE GOT OPINIONS!

Monday, January 5th, 2009
By Ray Paulick

“It’s hard to get half the people in this industry to agree on what day it is,” a Central Kentucky breeder said to me a couple of weeks ago, shortly after the Breeders’ Cup announced suspension of the stakes supplement program for 2009. “I can’t believe 83% of the people voting in your poll agreed that the Breeders’ Cup board made the wrong decision.”

The day after the results of the Daily Paulick Poll were reported (83% opposed the decision by the board of directors not to use cash reserves to fund the program, 10% supported it and 7% were unsure), the Breeders’ Cup reversed field, reinstating the stakes supplements – at least for 2009. Breeders’ Cup president Greg Avioli said he did not “anticipate the fervor of the response” to the original decision to suspend the program. Apparently, the poll results reflected the response Avioli and board members received in the way of telephone calls and emails from nominators to the Breeders’ Cup from around the country.

This wasn’t the first time judgments ran strong on an issue on which readers of the Paulick Report were asked to vote. The polls are not scientific, but the results are quite interesting and we are flattered by the daily response. This much we’ve learned: You’ve got opinions.

The most recent results, in fact, represent the strongest sentiment of any of the 40 polls we have conducted since just before the Breeders’ Cup World Championships in late October. (Click here to see archives of all the Daily Paulick Poll results.) We asked, “Does the National Thoroughbred Racing Association provide a strong central organization to move racing forward in the future?” The results have been stunning, with 94% saying “no” and only 6% answering “yes.”

In some ways, the question about the NTRA mirrored the results of earlier polls regarding the state of the industry and thoughts about some of the organizations that lead it. In mid-November, we asked, “In general, are you satisfied or dissatisfied with the way things are going in the Thoroughbred industry in the United States at this time.” The question was parallel to the right track/wrong track question the Gallup organization periodically asks of American citizens about the state of the nation.

According to our poll, 91% answered “dissatisfied,” suggesting the industry is currently on the wrong track. Of the remainder, 4% said they were satisfied and 5% were unsure. One e-mailer suggested that the 4% who said they were satisfied must not have understood the question.

Along those same lines, in early December we asked, “Are you confident the individuals in charge of the most prominent racing and breeding organizations in the United States are adequately addressing the problems the industry is currently facing?” That resulted in an 85% no confidence vote, with 10% saying they are confident in our industry leaders and 5% unsure.

A specific question about one of the year’s biggest stories, the creation of the NTRA Safety and Integrity Alliance, indicated skepticism among voters. While 8% agreed that it was a “major step forward in the areas of medication and safety issues and will result in significant improvements” and 27% called it a “good idea, but it’s too early to say whether or not it will be effective,” fully 44% voted that the alliance was “designed to keep the federal government from stepping in and taking action” on safety and medication. Another 22% said it will be “ineffective because the NTRA lacks authority to enforce its recommendations.”

Poll responses to questions about how to improve the economics of racing were less conclusive. For example, we asked which of three areas of growth were most important to the future success of racing: reinvigorating on-track business, expanding account wagering through TV or on-line video streaming, or getting subsidies from slot machines or other forms of gaming. Reinvigorating on-track business got the most votes, 45% of respondents, barely ahead of the 41% who believe account wagering is the industry’s best hope. Only 14% believe growth from slots/alternative gaming is the answer. A more specific question about slot machines ended with a four-way dead heat, with each of the following answers getting 25% of the votes: 1) slots are a short-term fix to boost revenue; 2) they are a long-term necessity for racing to be competitive; 3) they are a necessary evil; and 4) I oppose slot machines at tracks.

On the issue of simulcast revenue, the poll run in conjunction with an article by Fred Pope on what he calls “Priority 1: Racing’s Business Model” found 63% agreeing with Pope that host tracks and owners where the live race is run should get the lion’s share of takeout revenue. Another 29% believe it should be divided equally between the host site and where the bet is taken, and only 7% support the current model that leaves most of the revenue from simulcast wagers with the bet takers.

The level of takeout has been hotly debated in the comment sections of Pope’s article and several other related pieces. Our only poll question on the subject came after the Kentucky Horse Racing Task Force recommended an increase in takeout to help fund additional staff for the Kentucky Horse Racing Commission. Only 17% agreed with that recommendation, with 83% opposed to an increase in takeout to fund the commission.

We’ve touched on many other areas in our polls. For example, 55% of voters opposed Breeders’ Cup putting all of the filly and mare races on the Friday program of the two-day championships, with 18% in support and 27% taking a “wait and see” approach; 49% opposed having the Breeders’ Cup dirt races run on a synthetic track, while 39% supported it and 12% unsure. In the breeding world, in mid-December, 65% of voters said stud fees had not been reduced enough, 31% said the reductions were “about right,” and 4% felt they had been lowered too much. A comparison of the three highest-priced new stallions of 2009 found that Henrythenavigator offered greater value and opportunity for success to breeders than Curlin and Big Brown. The votes were 52% for Henrythenavigator, 44% for Curlin and 4% for Big Brown.

Finally, in light of the depressed bloodstock markets and a downward trend in pari-mutuel handle in 2008, a year-end poll asked readers if they believe 2009 will be a better year. Only 24% said they feel 2009 will be improved from 2008, with 52% saying it will be worse and 24% believing it will be the same.

Naturally, we hope our readers will be proven wrong and that 2009 will be a year that the industry addresses some of its biggest issues: organizational structure, leadership and a new business model that reflects the reality that roughly 10% of wagers are taken on-track where a race is being run. It’s clear there is a high level of discontent currently running throughout the industry, but it’s just as obvious that the passion to have racing stage a comeback is equally strong.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report


Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

Sign up for our Email Flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary.
 

SOLUTIONS FROM ACROSS THE POND

Friday, January 2nd, 2009
Gina Rarick and I grew up as neighbors of sorts – she on a Wisconsin dairy farm and I amidst the cornfields on the Prairie State side of the Illinois-Wisconsin border. We both gravitated toward journalism and the Thoroughbred industry, though her life’s work carried her across the Atlantic Ocean to Paris, France, while mine only brought me a few hundred miles down the interstate to within a half-hour’s drive of Paris, Kentucky.

Rarick (pictured, left) began her career in journalism nearly a quarter-century ago at the Milwaukee Journal and she wound up as the turf writer for the International Herald Tribune in Paris, France, covering major race meetings around the world. She never completely lost her rural roots, taking riding lessons while working in Chicago and later in Paris. She got serious about horses in France, getting her jockey’s license and riding into the winner’s circle in her first race in 2001 at the age of 38.

One year later, Rarick took out her trainer’s license, juggling a small stable with her journalism career, finally giving up the latter in 2008 to work full time as a trainer in Maisons-Laffitte. She hasn’t total abandoned writing, however, maintaining a frequently updated blog at her web site, www.gallopfrance.com. You can contact Gina at grarick@gallopfrance.com.

Rarick has been reading about American racing’s problems and offers her international perspective in the following commentary, arguing that the Thoroughbred industry in the U.S. needs a strong central governing body. Let us know your reaction to Rarick’s assertion in the comments section at the end of this article or by taking the Daily Paulick Poll, found on the left-hand column of the Paulick Report home page. – Ray Paulick

 
By Gina Rarick
There has been endless debate over the past year about how to save racing in the United States, and the focus has turned lately to how to pay for it all and who gets what size piece of an ever-dwindling pie.

For my money, cleaning up the sport and turning the focus back to the well-being of the equine athlete is the first and only way to go forward, but for those who insist on dwelling on the business model, I’d like to offer a little international perspective that may be of use.

In France, where I train, the betting handle has nearly doubled over the past decade. It rose to 9 billion euros in 2007, the most recent year for which figures are available, from 5.5 billion euros in 1997. In the United States, the handle fell to 10 billion euros in 2007 from 13.7 billion in 1997. The figures are from the International Federation of Horseracing Authorities, which converts all figures to euros for ease of comparison. The takeout in France fell to 26% in 2007 from 30% in 1997, while in the United States the takeout has been steady at about 21%. Both countries return about 8% to the sport.

In Great Britain, things are far more complicated because of the bookmakers. The overall betting handle rose to 15 billion euros in 2006, the latest numbers available, from 7.5 billion in 1997. But most of that betting was done with betting exchanges or bookmakers, who return just 1% to the sport, compared with the already-paltry 4% from the pari-mutuel Tote system. Overall takeout fell to 16% in 2006 from 22% in 1997.

Lies, damn lies and statistics. What does it all mean? First off, bookmakers and any sort of fragmented market are mortal for the sport.

Racing in Britain is in horrible shape, with breeders producing far more horses than the sport can support, counting on a lucrative export market that is drying up. The average purse in Britain last year was 15,000 euros (and that’s the total purse, not the win prize). But that tops the average 12,000 euro purse in the United States. In France, where the pari-mutuel PMU system has a monopoly on betting, the average purse was 21,000 euros.

One of the big arguments that bettors make is that lowering the takeout will increase the betting handle. But the takeout in the United States has remained constant for the past decade, while the handle has fallen.

True, the takeout in France and England has dropped, and the handle has risen. And it’s also true that big players are cognizant of this sort of thing. I’m a trainer, not a gambler (or at least not a serious one), but it’s my impression that most casual bettors, and certainly new, small players, pay absolutely no attention to the takeout. They’re here for the spectacle and the horses. When the pretty gray filly shatters her ankles and is euthanized on the track, they’re disgusted and they’re not coming back.

And as much as we like to think the whales run the sport, it’s the small players that provide the lifeblood. In France, the average bet last year was 11 euros; 40% of the players were women, and one in four were under 35 years of age. The PMU operation in France has a stunning marketing campaign, and the daily “Quinte Plus” handicap, where the object is to pick the first five past the post in order, has a huge national following. Many people who play don’t know beans about horses – they pick random numbers. That bet alone – offered on one race a day – was responsible for 23% of the handle last year.

The other misconception seems to be that the sport needs to draw fans to the track. Again, as a trainer, I would love to see more people in the stands other than the 10 guys and a cat that show up on any given day here in France. But the numbers in the United States and France show us that most people prefer to bet at home or at off-track facilities. In the United States in 2006, only 11% of the betting was done at the track, compared with 39% in Britain, where people have to show up to get the best odds from the on-course bookies.

In France in 2006, only 2% of the bets were made at the track. I’m not kidding. The only people who show up here are the ones who have to actually saddle the horse or ride it. But advances in technology and ever-better television coverage (at least in France) make it too enticing to curl up on the couch and bet by remote control. Accepting this, rather than trying to change it, seems the only logical way to proceed.

The powers that be in racing – both in France and abroad – seem to be focusing on the top end of the game rather than the bottom, which feeds the top. Your average race-goer (or racing couch potato) doesn’t know the difference between Curlin and a 10,000 euro claimer. These guys want to see full fields to make the betting interesting. Sure, it’s nice to have a good story with a horse running in Group or Grade 1 races to use as a marketing tool. But those stories are few and far between these days, and concentrating on building up only those top races, at the expense of the bottom end, will further eat into the handle.

No one wants to encourage breeding unsuitable horses, but maintaining a good program through all levels will keep people betting. I have rarely seen a card anywhere in America that features seven races with at least 10 runners each. In France, there have been hundreds of horses eliminated from spots during the Deauville winter season this year because of a glut of entries. Rarely is there a race that doesn’t have a full field of 16.

I’m not saying we have a racing Utopia over here. Every jurisdiction has its problems, and ours is the cold north wind blowing from Brussels that is pushing France to open the betting monopoly. If this happens, our purses are likely to go the way of the rest of the Continent, and the sport will begin to die, just as it is in Germany, Belgium and, unfortunately, Great Britain. As it is, runners from all those countries are regular visitors here, trying to earn some money the old-fashioned way – by crossing the line first.

I can’t see how American racing can save itself without some sort of nationwide governing body. I know this idea is anathema to many and downright offensive to some, but I can’t see how the sport can survive with a different set of medication rules and different betting systems for every state. Only with a unified front — and a total ban on race-day medication — can the United States truly participate in the sport on an international level and build confidence at home.

Copyright © 2009, The Paulick Report

Visit the Paulick Report for all the latest news throughout the racing world.

Sign up for our Email Flashes to get the latest news, analysis and commentary.